Big races › Flemington › Race 5

R5 The Abc Bullion Damien Oliver 2026 odds

Flemington race 5, Saturday 31 October 2026, 3:00 pm AEDT. Group 2 · Thoroughbreds · 1400m · $500,000 · Good 4 · Ocast

Result

1st 2. Private Eye
2nd 7. Cote Atlantique
3rd 15. Zou Sensation
4th 13. Amenable

Betfair SP Win 2 $9.60

Runner

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Best

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Ladbrokes

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FanDuel

Betfair lay

5. Warnie(1) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x308x4164

4.87

4.40Sportsbet

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4.00

4.40

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4.40

4.20

4.40

4.20

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4.00

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Warnie

Barrier 1 · Jockey Mark Zahra · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 57kg · Form 1x308x4164

Model win 4.87 · place 2.16

Odds of $15.00 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Caulfield and has the ideal draw. Should get going late. Good chance and definitely has claims.

At the latest run came from midfield; 4th of 15 in the G1 Toorak Handicap at Caulfield on October 10 over 1600m, 1.5 len behind Lady Shenandoah carrying 57kg at $15. Before that 6th of 16 in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1400m, 2.5 len behind Angel Capital with 55kg at $15. Going well, will be slicing through late again.

Didn't get a crack at them two back. Not a lot of room latest either. Won this last year. Among the better hopes again.

Five runs into the campaign, a G1 fourth over a mile last start, beaten only 1.6 lengths, followed a G1 sixth at 1400m and a G3 win at 1300m. Back to 1400m with a midfield map, the recent figures make a strong case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/15	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	1.6L
6/16	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	2.5L
1/7	9 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1300m	Qlty	1.3L
4/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	1.5L
8/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	3.8L
11/15	16 May 26	Doomben	1200m	OPEN	4.4L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

18. King Zephyr(13) · Harry Coffey · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 12x62268x4

8.29

7.00Palmerbet

–

6.00

6.50

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6.50

7.00

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7.00

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King Zephyr

Barrier 13 · Jockey Harry Coffey · Trainer Grahame Begg · 53kg · Form 12x62268x4

Model win 8.29 · place 3.08

Jumped at $20.00 and chased well when 4th last start here and gets some weight relief. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Betting is the best guide.

Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after three months 4th of 10 in the G2 Gilgai Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, on heavy track; 2.5 len behind Skybird carrying 57kg at $20. Previously second-up settled towards the rear 2nd of 11 in a Bm100 at this track on April 25 over 1400m, 0.5 len behind Big Swinger carrying 55kg at $2.60. Big return, hard to hold out if he gets a run.

Backmarker who had to wait to get into the clear first up, running on late. Second-up form is two wins (1300m, 1400m) and a second.

Six runs into the campaign, a fourth in a Flemington G2 over 1200m came after being tightened for room near the 200m. Two earlier placings over 1400m offer some hope, but the backmarker map makes this a tough assignment.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/10	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1200m	OPEN	2.6L
8/17	4 July 26	SunshineCoast	1400m	Qlty	2.7L
6/11	6 June 26	EagleFarm	1500m	Qlty	2.9L
2/16	23 May 26	Sandown-Hillside	1400m	BM100	0.8L
2/11	25 Apr 26	Flemington	1400m	BM100	0.5L
6/8	21 Mar 26	Caulfield	1200m	BM96	6.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

12. Persian Spirit(5) · Craig Williams · T: Symon Wilde · 54kg · 13648x2401

8.64

7.50Palmerbet

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7.00

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6.50

7.00

7.50

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7.00

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Persian Spirit

Barrier 5 · Jockey Craig Williams · Trainer Symon Wilde · 54kg · Form 13648x2401

Model win 8.64 · place 3.17

Rocketed home when winning last time at Caulfield. Has a nice turn of foot. Great chance.

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.8 len in the LR Weekend Hussler Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 1400m defeating Steparty with 55.5kg at $6. The start before that 11th of 16 in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1400m, 5 len behind Angel Capital with 52kg at $31. Hard to knock especially from the good gate.

Settled closer to the speed and found plenty latest. Gave them too big a start at previous. Costly fourth on a soft track three back.

Six runs into the campaign, a 1400m win by 0.8 lengths at Caulfield last start followed a fourth and an 11th in black-type company. The weight drop and proven trip support a major winning case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/14	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.8L
11/16	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	4.8L
4/7	9 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1300m	Qlty	1.9L
2/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	0.4L
8/15	4 Apr 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	4.3L
4/9	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	2.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

11. Steparty(14) · John Allen · T: Paul Preusker · 54.5kg · 97721150x2

10.31

9.00Unibet

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8.50

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8.00

8.50

9.00

8.50

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8.50

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Steparty

Barrier 14 · Jockey John Allen · Trainer Paul Preusker · 54.5kg · Form 97721150x2

Model win 10.31 · place 3.59

Hit the line well when 2nd last start at Caulfield and gets some weight relief. Gets a chance against these.

Second run back. First-up after seven months 2nd of 14 in the LR Weekend Hussler Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 58kg at $6. Previously second-up 8th of 15 in the G2 Gilgai Stakes at this track on October 4 2025 over 1200m, 5 len behind War Machine with 57kg at $41. Excellent return and gets in very well at the weights.

Covered ground early fresh, hanging on for a solid second. Continues to be competitive, but latest win in Melbourne was in September 2023.

Seven runs into the campaign, a second over 1400m at Caulfield last start reversed two weaker efforts over a mile. A forward position and sharper trip make this a live chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/14	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.8L
12/16	4 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	10.1L
5/9	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	1.2L
1/6	25 Feb 26	Launceston	1600m	OPEN	0.8L
1/11	8 Feb 26	Hobart	1400m	OPEN	0.3L
2/9	31 Dec 25	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

2. Private Eye(11) · James Mcdonald · T: Joseph Pride · 59kg · 2x365x2732

11.39

10.00Unibet

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9.50

8.50

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9.00

10.00

8.50

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9.00

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Private Eye

Barrier 11 · Jockey James Mcdonald · Trainer Joseph Pride · 59kg · Form 2x365x2732

Model win 11.39 · place 3.86

Right in contention last start at Caulfield and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Very competitive this preparation. Commands respect.

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, head behind War Machine carrying 59kg at $2.50. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 in the G2 Shannon Stakes at Rosehill on September 26 over 1500m, 3.5 len behind Skyhook with 60kg at $4.80. Very tough again latest and will be right there.

Kicked up from inside gate latest, took a sit, got clear, just missed War Machine. Recent Melbourne record is 5: 2-3-0. Include.

Late in the prep, a G3 fourth over 1400m followed a G2 third over 1500m. The on-pace map should keep the chance prominent, while recent black-type form provides a genuine case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.2L
3/8	26 Sept 26	Rosehill	1500m	Qlty	3.3L
7/8	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	5.5L
2/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.8L
5/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	2.1L
6/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	1.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

10. Hughes(6) · Jett Stanley · T: Gavin Bedggood · 54.5kg · 50627115x3

15.66

14.00TAB

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14.00

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13.00

12.00

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13.00

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Hughes

Barrier 6 · Jockey Jett Stanley · Trainer Gavin Bedggood · 54.5kg · Form 50627115x3

Model win 15.66 · place 4.87

Good performance to run into 3rd last run at Caulfield and gets a reduction in weight. Likely to get back in the field. Will be tested.

Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, 1.0 len behind War Machine carrying 58.5kg at $12. Previously second-up 11th of 14 in a Supernova at Pakenham on December 13 over 1400m, 4.5 len behind Warnie with 57.5kg at $61. Nice run fresh and drops sharply in weight, big chance.

Settled back fresh, improving along the fence in the straight and weaving through to grab third. Drops in weight. Each-way claims.

On the sixth run of the prep, a G3 third over 1400m last start followed earlier G3 success at Caulfield. Recent form gives a strong place case, though the backmarker map is less favourable.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
3/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	1.0L
5/12	2 May 26	Bendigo	1600m	OPEN	1.1L
1/15	4 Apr 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	1.5L
1/11	8 Mar 26	Echuca	1400m	OPEN	0.1L
7/8	7 Feb 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	5.5L
2/8	24 Jan 26	Caulfield	1400m	Qlty	0.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

7. Cote Atlantique(17) · Declan Bates · T: Henry Dwyer · 55kg · x222065321

16.41

15.00TAB

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15.00

14.00

–

14.00

13.00

–

14.00

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Cote Atlantique

Barrier 17 · Jockey Declan Bates · Trainer Henry Dwyer · 55kg · Form x222065321

Model win 16.41 · place 5.04

Ran on hard when winning last run around here on a heavy track and getting better in recent performances. In fine form this campaign. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

Racing well recently. Last start ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len in the LR Paris Lane Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1400m on a heavy track defeating Just Folk carrying 56.5kg at $11. The run before that 2nd of 13 in the LR Tontonan (Sofitel) Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Welcometotheshow with 57kg at $41. Nice win last time, go both ways here.

Appreciated heavy track and good pace in front breaking through last time. Good second from the back here at previous.

Five runs into the campaign, a Flemington win over 1400m last start followed a second at the same course and distance. The wide draw could require extra work, but consistent recent form keeps the chance strong.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/11	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	1.3L
2/13	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.8L
3/14	22 Aug 26	MorphettvilleParks	1400m	OPEN	1.5L
5/8	1 Aug 26	Flemington	1200m	OPEN	3.7L
6/17	4 July 26	SunshineCoast	1400m	Qlty	1.8L
11/13	16 May 26	Doomben	1600m	Qlty	5.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

15. Zou Sensation(7) · William Pike · T: Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin · 53kg · 418x505739

17.66

17.00Palmerbet

–

14.00

13.00

–

13.00

14.00

15.00

14.00

17.00

–

15.00

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Zou Sensation

Barrier 7 · Jockey William Pike · Trainer Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin · 53kg · Form 418x505739

Model win 17.66 · place 5.33

At $6.50 couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Caulfield but gets some weight taken off. Should muster plenty of early speed. Chance and can measure up.

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, 9 len behind War Machine with 58kg at $6.50. The run before that came from midfield; 3rd of 11 in the LR Paris Lane Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1400m, on heavy track; 2.5 len behind Cote Atlantique with 56.5kg at $21. Poor latest, best form would give him a chance.

Lame latest. Placed on heavy here fresh. Shared the lead and won this track/trip back in December. Can improve.

Eight runs into the campaign, a ninth in the G3 over 1400m last start followed a third over the same trip at Flemington. That course-and-distance placing is encouraging, but a sharp rebound is needed after the latest run.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
9/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	9.8L
3/11	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	2.5L
7/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	3.1L
5/9	25 July 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	4.4L
10/11	6 June 26	EagleFarm	1200m	OPEN	5.2L
5/13	16 May 26	Scone	1300m	Qlty	2.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

13. Amenable(8) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 660x48x344

21.88

21.00TAB

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21.00

19.00

–

18.00

17.00

18.00

14.00

–

18.00

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Amenable

Barrier 8 · Jockey Michael Dee · Trainer Grahame Begg · 53kg · Form 660x48x344

Model win 21.88 · place 6.25

Jumped at $13.00 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Caulfield and dropping weight. Will need to find a new peak.

Racing well recently. At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, 1.1 len behind War Machine with 57kg at $13. Before that 4th of 11 in the LR Paris Lane Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1400m, on a wet track; 3 len behind Cote Atlantique with 56.5kg at $12. Not far away last start. Place hope down in the weights.

Went back from barrier nine third up, running the fastest last 400m (23.60). Hasn't won since August 2023. Drop to 53kg helps.

Nine runs into the campaign, successive fourths over 1400m have kept the form consistent, following a G3 third over 1300m. The place profile is solid, but the figures fall short of a winning case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	1.1L
4/11	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	3.0L
3/7	9 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1300m	Qlty	1.7L
8/11	29 Nov 25	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	5.7L
4/9	11 Oct 25	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	2.7L
13/14	16 May 25	Scone	1600m	Qlty	5.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

9. Cafe Millenium(19) · Ms Celine Gaudray · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 54.5kg · 6x4150x037

25.46

23.00Sportsbet

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21.00

23.00

–

21.00

20.00

21.00

20.00

–

21.00

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Cafe Millenium

Barrier 19 · Jockey Ms Celine Gaudray · Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 54.5kg · Form 6x4150x037

Model win 25.46 · place 7.00

Started at $16.00 and finished 7th last start here but will appreciate the drop in weight. Celine Gaudray is a bonus. Does take a while to get into stride. Watch the betting.

At the latest run 7th of 11 in the LR Paris Lane Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1400m, in the wet; 7 len behind Cote Atlantique carrying 58.5kg at $16. The run before that 3rd of 13 in the LR Tontonan (Sofitel) Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Welcometotheshow with 59kg at $5.50. Can do better on firmer going but this is a deep race.

Backmarker who was a close third with 59.5kg here two back. No threat on heavy latest. Gets a nice weight drop. Consider.

Seven runs into the prep, a seventh on heavy ground over 1400m at Flemington last time followed a third on good ground at the same track and trip. The return to good ground helps, but the backmarker map and latest figures leave plenty to find.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/11	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	7.9L
3/13	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.8L
10/12	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1400m	BM100	8.4L
11/15	4 Apr 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	6.3L
5/9	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	3.1L
1/8	14 Feb 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

4. Desert Lightning(12) · Ben Melham · T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman · 57.5kg · 5x4180x667

38.99

34.00TAB

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34.00

–

31.00

34.00

29.00

34.00

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34.00

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Desert Lightning

Barrier 12 · Jockey Ben Melham · Trainer Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman · 57.5kg · Form 5x4180x667

Model win 38.99 · place 9.67

Was $26.00 and average effort when 7th last start at Caulfield but returning to more ground. Suggest watching.

Last start 7th of 9 in the G2 Schillaci Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 1100m, 4 len behind Jigsaw with 58.5kg at $26. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 in the G2 Bobbie Lewis Quality at this track on September 12 over 1200m, 1.4 len behind Losesomewinmore carrying 59kg at $51. Much better suited this trip, knockout hope.

Drifted back last time over 1100m, running the second-fastest last 400m (22.16). Sound with 59kg here two back. Worth thought.

Eight runs into the prep, two G2 sixths over 1200m and 1400m were followed by a seventh over 1100m. The return to 1400m is a better fit, but recent figures need to improve.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/9	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1100m	OPEN	3.9L
6/14	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1200m	Qlty	1.4L
6/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	3.1L
12/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	5.0L
8/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	1.8L
1/14	9 May 26	Morphettville	1200m	OPEN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

17. Scheelite(4) · Craig Newitt · T: Ken & Kasey Keys · 53kg · 20x51080x4

43.21

41.00TAB

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41.00

35.00

–

35.00

41.00

31.00

–

34.00

–

Scheelite

Barrier 4 · Jockey Craig Newitt · Trainer Ken & Kasey Keys · 53kg · Form 20x51080x4

Model win 43.21 · place 10.46

Started $41.00 and faded away late when 4th last start at Cranbourne and will try to take advantage of the alley. Shows good early pace. Up in class. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Second run back. First-up after five months crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 in a Hcp at Cranbourne on October 9 over 1200m, 2 len behind Ndola carrying 60.5kg at $41. Previously second-up won by 1.3 len in the G3 Shaftesbury Avenue Handicap at this track on March 7 over 1400m defeating Here To Shock carrying 54kg at $15. Fitter and the trip suits, not hopeless at big odds.

On-pacer who crossed from barrier 12 to lead fresh, just missing a place. Led/won this track/trip second up in autumn.

Eight runs into the campaign, a fourth over 1200m in an open race last time followed a G3 win over 1400m at Flemington earlier in the year. The likely contest for the lead and modest recent figures leave plenty to prove.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/12	9 Oct 26	Cranbourne	1200m	OPEN	2.0L
10/12	9 May 26	Morphettville	1600m	OPEN	8.5L
8/12	2 May 26	Bendigo	1600m	OPEN	2.4L
16/16	4 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	17.7L
1/9	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	1.3L
5/8	14 Feb 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

16. Recon(16) · Patrick Moloney · T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker · 53kg · x5160x6004

53.45

51.00Sportsbet

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41.00

51.00

–

51.00

41.00

31.00

–

41.00

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Recon

Barrier 16 · Jockey Patrick Moloney · Trainer Pat Carey & Harris Walker · 53kg · Form x5160x6004

Model win 53.45 · place 12.30

Jumped at $11.00 and outmatched in the closing stages when 4th last run at Caulfield. Slim hope.

At the latest run 4th of 14 in the LR Weekend Hussler Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 1400m, 1.3 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 55kg at $11. The start before that 13th of 16 in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1400m, 6 len behind Angel Capital carrying 52kg at $41. Rough chance.

Went forward in a change of tactics last time, just missing a place. Gave away too big a start at previous two. Place.

Fourth run into the campaign, a Listed fourth over 1400m last start improved on two unplaced black-type runs. The 53kg and recent step forward provide an outside chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/14	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	1.3L
13/16	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	6.0L
12/14	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1200m	Qlty	3.7L
6/11	15 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	2.7L
15/16	23 May 26	Sandown-Hillside	1400m	BM100	24.6L
6/14	9 May 26	Morphettville	1200m	OPEN	1.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

8. Welwal(15) · Beau Mertens · T: Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) · 55kg · 276x34144x

57.36

61.00TAB

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61.00

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51.00

34.00

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51.00

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Welwal

Barrier 15 · Jockey Beau Mertens · Trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) · 55kg · Form 276x34144x

Model win 57.36 · place 12.98

First up and finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at Hobart. Might be ridden for luck. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Rather have another day.

Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 11 at Eagle Farm in the LR W Wilson June 13 over 1600m, on rain affected going; 5 len behind War Eternal carrying 59kg at $6.50. Previously first up; third of 11 at Hobart in the LR Wfa February 8 over 1400m, soft track; 1.0 len behind Steparty with 59kg at $6. Prefer to see this one.

Backmarker resuming. Closing third to Steparty first up last prep. Won over 1500m third up. Likely to be running on.

Returns after 140 days away, having recorded a G3 win over 1500m and a recent jump-out win. That latest jump-out is a positive for the return.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/11	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1600m	OPEN	5.1L
4/13	16 May 26	Doomben	1600m	Qlty	2.2L
1/11	28 Mar 26	Rosehill	1500m	Qlty	1.5L
4/13	8 Mar 26	Canberra	1400m	Qlty	2.1L
3/11	8 Feb 26	Hobart	1400m	OPEN	1.0L
6/6	2 Aug 25	Rosehill	1500m	OPEN	6.4L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

6. Here To Shock(10) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 55.5kg · 104270x645

82.36

81.00TAB

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81.00

71.00

–

71.00

81.00

67.00

71.00

61.00

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71.00

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Here To Shock

Barrier 10 · Jockey Daniel Stackhouse · Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 55.5kg · Form 104270x645

Model win 82.36 · place 17.10

Was $9.50 and picked up some late ground when 5th last time at Caulfield. Others make far more appeal.

Last start 5th of 9 in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, 2 len behind War Machine carrying 58kg at $9.50. Before that 4th of 9 in the LR Testa Rossa Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1440m, 1.75 len behind Regal Zeus carrying 58kg at $12. Others are going better.

Slow away at past two, holding ground in an on-pacers' race each time. Can race on the pace if he jumps with them. Each-way claims.

Ten runs into the campaign, a fifth in G3 company over 1400m last start followed a fourth over 1440m in Listed company. The consistent results keep a place chance alive, although the figures are below the leading claims.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
5/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	2.1L
4/9	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1440m	OPEN	1.7L
6/7	9 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1300m	Qlty	4.6L
11/11	5 May 26	Rockhampton	1300m	OPEN	5.7L
7/15	4 Apr 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	3.6L
2/9	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	1.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

14. Holymanz(9) · Jabez Johnstone · T: Ciaron Maher · 53kg · 83153754x0

102

101TAB

–

101

91.00

–

91.00

101

91.00

81.00

91.00

–

91.00

–

Holymanz

Barrier 9 · Jockey Jabez Johnstone · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 53kg · Form 83153754x0

Model win 102 · place 20.12

Started at $21.00 and lost ground in the run home when 13th last run at Caulfield but suited by the weight drop. Not at all out of this race.

Second run back. First-up after five months ran second last of 14 in the LR Weekend Hussler Stakes at Caulfield on October 10 over 1400m, 6 len behind Persian Spirit carrying 56.5kg at $21. Previously second-up 3rd of 13 in the LR Cranbourne Cup on November 22 over 1600m, 0.9 len behind Sabaj carrying 57kg at $16. Looks tested in this field.

Went back from barrier 10 fresh, beat one home. Close third in the Cranbourne Cup second up over 1600m last spring.

Seven runs into the campaign, a 13th over 1400m at Caulfield last start was a setback after earlier placings over 1600m. Recent figures make the profile difficult to trust.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
13/14	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	6.1L
4/12	2 May 26	Bendigo	1600m	OPEN	0.8L
5/13	28 Mar 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	3.3L
7/10	28 Feb 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	3.5L
3/14	7 Feb 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	0.4L
5/7	3 Jan 26	Geelong	1700m	OPEN	2.7L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

1. Pericles scratched(3) · Jason Collett · T: Bjorn Baker · 59.5kg · 42X1357X77

Pericles

Barrier 3 · Jockey Jason Collett · Trainer Bjorn Baker · 59.5kg · Form 42X1357X77

Jumped at $13.00 and ran 7th last run at Randwick but proven runner at this trip.

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up settled back and ran on when 7th of 13 in the G1 Manikato Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Jimmysstar with 58.5kg at $31. Second-up 7th of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at Randwick on October 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2.25 len behind Grafterburners with 58.5kg at $13. Can improve. Class horse who gets to a much better trip now.

Has covered ground from wide draws in both runs this time in. Kept coming latest. Rise in trip suits. Likely improver.

Nine runs into the campaign, successive sevenths in G1 company over 1200m have interrupted a top-level record that includes a G1 win at 1400m. Returning to 1400m brings the strongest part of the profile back into focus.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.2L
7/13	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	3.6L
7/13	18 Apr 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	2.6L
5/16	4 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	7.7L
3/12	21 Mar 26	Rosehill	1500m	OPEN	3.1L
1/8	21 Feb 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

3. War Machine scratched(18) · Damian Lane · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 59kg · 30x301

War Machine

Barrier 18 · Jockey Damian Lane · Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 59kg · Form 30x301

Dashed home to win last time at Caulfield and ideal distance as proven previously. Producing consistent results this campaign.

At the latest run came from midfield and won by a head in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m defeating Private Eye carrying 59kg at $3.70. The race before that 14th of 16 in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1400m, 9 len behind Angel Capital with 56.5kg at $21. Back to form latest and warrants respect again.

Back to winning form when he outlasted Private Eye. Barrier 16 hurt at previous. Include in the better chances now he's in form.

Seven runs into the campaign, a G3 win over 1400m last start followed a 14th in G1 company at the same trip. The latest win makes a serious case, although the wide draw could mean covering extra ground.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/9	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.2L
14/16	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	9.0L
3/8	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1100m	OPEN	2.8L
11/14	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1200m	OPEN	4.0L
3/6	23 Jan 26	Pakenham	1200m	OPEN	3.5L
12/15	1 Nov 25	Randwick	1300m	OPEN	10.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

19. Estremo scratched(2) · JYE MCNEIL · T: CHRIS WALLER · 53kg · 17x66

Estremo

Barrier 2 · Jockey JYE MCNEIL · Trainer CHRIS WALLER · 53kg · Form 17x66

Finished 6th last time at Randwick but can find a nice position from the draw. Matched against a stronger field. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 14 in a Bm94 at Randwick on October 3 over 1200m, slow going 4 len behind Wanaruah carrying 58kg at $21. Second-up 6th of 15 in a Bm88 at Randwick on October 17 over 1400m, slow going 3 len behind Cross Tasman with 59kg at $21. Looking to others.

Has gone back from wide alleys in both runs this prep, running on to finish sixth each time. Settled closer third up last prep and won.

Third run into the campaign, a sixth in a 1400m Benchmark 88 at Randwick followed another sixth over 1200m in Benchmark 94. The drop to 53kg is a positive, though recent figures remain modest at this level.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/15	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1400m	BM88	3.0L
6/14	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	BM94	4.1L
7/18	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	2.6L
1/10	16 May 26	Doomben	1350m	OPEN	1.2L
5/11	2 May 26	Hawkesbury	1400m	BM88	1.6L
5/11	18 Apr 26	Randwick	1200m	BM88	2.4L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

Runners in price order, shortest first. Tap a runner for its notes, last starts and its price over time at every book.

Runner	Model	Best	Betfair	TAB	Sportsbet	Ladbrokes	Neds	PointsBet	BetR	Unibet	Palmerbet	Picklebet	Dabble	FanDuel
5. Warnie(1) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x308x4164	2.16	1.95Neds	–	1.80	1.85	–	1.95	1.80	1.80	1.75	1.85	–	1.75	–
18. King Zephyr(13) · Harry Coffey · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 12x62268x4	3.08	2.60Palmerbet	–	2.30	2.40	–	2.50	2.40	2.40	2.25	2.60	–	2.50	–
12. Persian Spirit(5) · Craig Williams · T: Symon Wilde · 54kg · 13648x2401	3.17	2.70Palmerbet	–	2.50	2.50	–	2.50	2.40	2.50	2.35	2.70	–	2.50	–
11. Steparty(14) · John Allen · T: Paul Preusker · 54.5kg · 97721150x2	3.59	3.00Palmerbet	–	2.70	2.90	–	2.90	2.90	2.90	2.80	3.00	–	2.90	–
2. Private Eye(11) · James Mcdonald · T: Joseph Pride · 59kg · 2x365x2732	3.86	3.10TAB	–	3.10	2.90	–	3.10	3.00	3.00	3.00	3.00	–	3.00	–
10. Hughes(6) · Jett Stanley · T: Gavin Bedggood · 54.5kg · 50627115x3	4.87	4.20TAB	–	4.20	4.00	–	4.00	3.90	3.90	3.70	3.70	–	3.90	–
7. Cote Atlantique(17) · Declan Bates · T: Henry Dwyer · 55kg · x222065321	5.04	4.40TAB	–	4.40	4.00	–	4.20	3.90	3.90	3.70	3.90	–	4.00	–
15. Zou Sensation(7) · William Pike · T: Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin · 53kg · 418x505739	5.33	4.80Palmerbet	–	4.20	3.80	–	4.00	4.20	4.00	4.00	4.80	–	4.00	–
13. Amenable(8) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 660x48x344	6.25	5.00TAB	–	5.00	5.00	–	5.00	4.50	4.40	4.80	4.00	–	4.40	–
9. Cafe Millenium(19) · Ms Celine Gaudray · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 54.5kg · 6x4150x037	7.00	5.50Sportsbet	–	5.00	5.50	–	5.50	4.50	4.60	5.00	5.50	–	4.60	–
4. Desert Lightning(12) · Ben Melham · T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman · 57.5kg · 5x4180x667	9.67	8.50Unibet	–	8.00	7.50	–	7.50	7.00	6.00	8.50	8.00	–	7.00	–
17. Scheelite(4) · Craig Newitt · T: Ken & Kasey Keys · 53kg · 20x51080x4	10.46	10.00Unibet	–	8.00	8.00	–	8.00	8.00	7.50	10.00	8.00	–	7.00	–
16. Recon(16) · Patrick Moloney · T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker · 53kg · x5160x6004	12.30	11.00Sportsbet	–	10.00	11.00	–	11.00	9.00	8.50	10.00	7.50	–	7.50	–
8. Welwal(15) · Beau Mertens · T: Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) · 55kg · 276x34144x	12.98	13.00Sportsbet	–	10.00	13.00	–	11.00	8.50	8.50	12.00	8.00	–	8.50	–
6. Here To Shock(10) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 55.5kg · 104270x645	17.10	15.00Sportsbet	–	14.00	15.00	–	14.00	13.00	12.00	15.00	13.00	–	12.00	–
14. Holymanz(9) · Jabez Johnstone · T: Ciaron Maher · 53kg · 83153754x0	20.12	20.00TAB	–	20.00	19.00	–	16.00	17.00	16.00	19.00	18.00	–	16.00	–
1. Pericles scratched(3) · Jason Collett · T: Bjorn Baker · 59.5kg · 42X1357X77
3. War Machine scratched(18) · Damian Lane · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 59kg · 30x301
19. Estremo scratched(2) · JYE MCNEIL · T: CHRIS WALLER · 53kg · 17x66

Runner	Opened	Now	Move
5. Warnie(1) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x308x4164	7.00	4.40	▼ 37%
18. King Zephyr(13) · Harry Coffey · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 12x62268x4	13.00	7.00	▼ 46%
12. Persian Spirit(5) · Craig Williams · T: Symon Wilde · 54kg · 13648x2401	9.50	7.50	▼ 21%
11. Steparty(14) · John Allen · T: Paul Preusker · 54.5kg · 97721150x2	8.50	9.00	▲ 6%
2. Private Eye(11) · James Mcdonald · T: Joseph Pride · 59kg · 2x365x2732	8.00	10.00	▲ 25%
10. Hughes(6) · Jett Stanley · T: Gavin Bedggood · 54.5kg · 50627115x3	11.00	14.00	▲ 27%
7. Cote Atlantique(17) · Declan Bates · T: Henry Dwyer · 55kg · x222065321	17.00	15.00	▼ 12%
15. Zou Sensation(7) · William Pike · T: Leon & Troy Corstens & Will Larkin · 53kg · 418x505739	29.00	17.00	▼ 41%
13. Amenable(8) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 53kg · 660x48x344	19.00	21.00	▲ 11%
9. Cafe Millenium(19) · Ms Celine Gaudray · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 54.5kg · 6x4150x037	26.00	23.00	▼ 12%
4. Desert Lightning(12) · Ben Melham · T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman · 57.5kg · 5x4180x667	34.00	34.00	0%
17. Scheelite(4) · Craig Newitt · T: Ken & Kasey Keys · 53kg · 20x51080x4	51.00	41.00	▼ 20%
16. Recon(16) · Patrick Moloney · T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker · 53kg · x5160x6004	41.00	51.00	▲ 24%
8. Welwal(15) · Beau Mertens · T: Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) · 55kg · 276x34144x	41.00	61.00	▲ 49%
6. Here To Shock(10) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 55.5kg · 104270x645	61.00	81.00	▲ 33%
14. Holymanz(9) · Jabez Johnstone · T: Ciaron Maher · 53kg · 83153754x0	81.00	101	▲ 25%

Opened: the longest opening price among the bookmakers. Now: the best price now. Firming ▼ means the price has shortened.

Racing and Sports

PERICLES (1) drifted well back last start then wound up strongly to finish seventh, beaten 2.25 lengths, over 1200m in the G2 Sydney Stakes at Randwick. Watch for him to be charging home again. STEPARTY (11) knuckled down strongly to get within 0.8 lengths of the winner in second last start over 1400m at Caulfield when coming back from a break. Sound record at this distance with three wins and six minor placings from 12 runs and is sure to go well. HUGHES (10) is a genuine seven-year-old gelding who resumed with a solid third last time out in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield over 1400m. Among the leading chances. PRIVATE EYE (2) has been in the money at his last couple of runs, the latest when second over 1400m in the G3 Harry White (Moonga) Stakes at Caulfield. Winning claims if at his peak.

Dabble

PRIVATE EYE (2) Just missed last start at Caulfield and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Will be positive in the run early. Performing impressively this campaign. James Mcdonald rates highly aboard. Genuine winning chance. WARNIE (5) Inched into 4th last run at Caulfield and can save some energy from the draw. Will be hitting the line strongly. This field suits. PERSIAN SPIRIT (12) Finished with purpose when winning last time at Caulfield. Shows very good finishing speed. Will be around the mark at odds. ZOU SENSATION (15) Was well beaten when 9th last time at Caulfield but gets some weight relief. Expecting to settle positively. William Pike rates highly. Has to be strongly considered.

Timeform (FanDuel)

Wide-open affair here - genuinely every horse could win without surprising. STEPARTY (11) looks the best suited, dropping 8lbs off a strong return in the Listed Weekend Hussler behind Persian Spirit. He goes well at this track and trip and with any luck from the gate will go close. HUGHES (10) ran on well first up when finishing behind the pair of PRIVATE EYE (2). Hughes meets him much better off here and should strip fitter. Private Eye will run another honest race. PERSIAN SPIRIT (12) won well enough last time and sets up well again. WARNIE (5) comes through the better formlines, fourth in the G1 Toorak Handicap last time but barrier one will take some navigating. KING ZEPHYR (18) sneaks a run after scratchings and comes right into it off an excellent return.

Palmerbet

WARNIE (5) won this race last year and was held up for room when fourth in the Toorak at his latest, so with plenty of pace on he can pick them off late. PERSIAN SPIRIT (12) tracked the speed and won the Weekend Hussler over 1400m last start, nicely in at 54kg from barrier 3 under Craig Williams. STEPARTY (11) went down 0.8 lengths in that same race under 58kg and drops 3.5kg for the rematch second-up, with barrier 12 the main knock. HUGHES (10) closed into third behind the Moonga pair first-up and meets them 4kg better at his second run back, right in this if the tempo stays honest.

Best Bets

Scheelite to lead from Zou Sensation and Private Eye at a fair pace. WARNIE won this race last year. He didn't have a lot of luck in either of the Caulfield Group 1 handicaps. From gate one, he'll need luck again. HUGHES meets PRIVATE EYE 4kg better for a close third behind War Machine and Private Eye at Caulfield. He's drawn better than him too. ZOU SENSATION should give a good sight from on the speed. DESERT LIGHTNING should run well. CAFE MILLENIUM, AMENABLE and KING ZEPHYR next.

Matthew Hill

A Group 2 1400m contest is named in honour of Damien Oliver, and is worth 500K. 11. STEPARTY went huge fresh up in the Weekend Hussler Stakes at Caulfield 3 weeks ago, finishing runner-up by less than a length. He carries 3.5kg less this time, and it is always a strong lead when John Allen gets down to this weight. He cops a wide draw, but can go one better. 10. HUGHES overcame a slow start to rattle into third place fresh up in the G3 Harry White Stakes at Caulfield 2 weeks ago. His record here is not so good, but the way the Bedggood stable is firing, he can improve that stat here. Stick with him on an each-way basis. 2. PRIVATE EYE has been a terrific performer for a long time, and he is still very competitive at this level. JMac is on, so don't risk him. 12. PERSIAN SPIRIT was too strong at Listed level last time out, and he drops 1.5kg for this. Willo sticks with him, and so do we.

Racing Central

SCHEELITE (17), ZOU SENSATION (15) and STEPARTY (11) look set to press PRIVATE EYE (2) up front, setting up a contested lead that should suit midfield WARNIE (5). WARNIE (5) brings a close G1 fourth over a mile after a G3 win earlier in the prep, and now returns to 1400m. PERSIAN SPIRIT (12) arrives off a 1400m win and drops to 54kg, making a strong danger. Second-up, HUGHES (10) was third in the Caulfield G3 over 1400m last start and has a solid case again. PRIVATE EYE (2) has been competitive over 1400–1500m and maps prominently, although the speed contest is a test. WARNIE (5) is the key hope.

Prices are each bookmaker's public price as MarketMover last read it, checked at 11:17 pm Sydney time; a dash is a book that has not opened this race yet. Prices move, and the bookmaker's own price is the one you get. The Model's price is MarketMover's own, from public prices and form: a price to compare against, not a tip; its record is public.

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R5 The Abc Bullion Damien Oliver 2026 odds

Result

Warnie

Last starts

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King Zephyr

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Persian Spirit

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Steparty

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Private Eye

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Hughes

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Cote Atlantique

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Zou Sensation

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Amenable

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Cafe Millenium

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Desert Lightning

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Scheelite

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Recon

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Welwal

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Here To Shock

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Holymanz

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Pericles

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War Machine

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Estremo

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leader

on pace

midfield

off pace

backmarker

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