Big races › Randwick › Race 7

R7 The Russell Balding Stakes 2026 odds

Randwick race 7, Saturday 31 October 2026, 4:00 pm AEDT. Group 2 · Thoroughbreds · 1300m · $3,000,000 · Good 4 · Fine

Result

1st 4. Pericles
2nd 8. Headwall
3rd 3. Caballus
4th 6. Ninja

Betfair SP Win 4 $21.97

Runner

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FanDuel

Betfair lay

1. Jimmysstar(16) · Ethan Brown · T: Ciaron Maher · 58.5kg · X75342X916

4.49

4.40Palmerbet

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3.80

3.90

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3.90

4.00

3.80

3.90

4.40

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3.80

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Jimmysstar

Barrier 16 · Jockey Ethan Brown · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 58.5kg · Form X75342X916

Model win 4.49 · place 1.94

Jumped at $19.00 and came in 6th last start at this venue. May see an upturn in form and suited at this trip in the past. Ethan Brown rates highly. Major chance.

At the latest run 6th of 12 in a G1 The Everest at this track on October 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2 len behind Tempted carrying 58.5kg at $19. The race before that was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 0.8 len in the G1 Manikato Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1200m defeating Extragalactic carrying 58.5kg at $6.50. Manikato winner who won this race last year, place best from the barrier.

Made ground from last to midfield and was closest on the line in the Everest. Last year's winner and will take plenty of beating.

He was sixth in the G1 at Randwick last start, beaten 1.9 lengths after being held up, and is now fourth-up. His G1 second over 1300m earlier this year supports the trip. He maps back again, but has the class to finish over them and is hard to beat.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/12	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.9L
1/13	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	0.8L
9/12	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	5.0L
2/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	0.1L
4/15	16 May 26	Doomben	1200m	OPEN	2.4L
3/13	18 Apr 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	1.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

6. Ninja(13) · Tommy Berry · T: Michael Freedman · 57.5kg · X31215X195

5.14

4.60Palmerbet

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4.20

–

4.50

4.20

4.40

4.60

–

4.40

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Ninja

Barrier 13 · Jockey Tommy Berry · Trainer Michael Freedman · 57.5kg · Form X31215X195

Model win 5.14 · place 2.10

At $26.00 overrun in the closing stages when 5th last run at the track and competing in a lower grade. This looks a tough assignment.

Last start 5th of 12 in a G1 The Everest at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 1.5 len behind Tempted with 58.5kg at $26. Before that 9th of 11 in a G2 The Shorts at this track on September 19 over 1100m, 2 len behind Mazu carrying 57kg at $4.60. Back in class and undefeated at the trip, hard to hold out.

Used lower gate to sit closer in the Everest and battled on well to be just behind the placings. Strong chance here.

Fourth-up, he finished fifth in the G1 at Randwick, beaten 1.5 lengths after interference on straightening. He won a G2 over 1200m two starts earlier. The extra 100m looks manageable and he remains a leading chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
5/12	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.5L
9/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1100m	OPEN	2.0L
1/7	8 Aug 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.2L
5/9	7 Mar 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	6.5L
1/7	21 Feb 26	Rosehill	1400m	OPEN	1.4L
2/17	17 Jan 26	GoldCoast	1400m	OPEN	0.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

8. Headwall(3) · Chad Schofield · T: Matthew Smith · 56.5kg · 4232X1X254

5.33

4.80BetR

–

4.60

–

4.60

4.40

4.80

4.60

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4.60

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Headwall

Barrier 3 · Jockey Chad Schofield · Trainer Matthew Smith · 56.5kg · Form 4232X1X254

Model win 5.33 · place 2.15

Made some ground when 4th last start around here and stepping down to a lower level. Should be swooping on the field late. Could feature here.

At the latest run 4th of 12 in a G1 The Everest at this track on October 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 0.7 len behind Tempted carrying 58.5kg at $51. The start before that 5th of 11 in a G2 The Shorts at this track on September 19 over 1100m, 1.0 len behind Mazu carrying 56kg at $3.20. Raced without luck all prep and can put these away today.

Contnues to perform strongly this preparation and now at peak fitness out to fhe 1300m, maps perfectly.

Loomed like a winning hope before peaking on his run late in the Everest. If he's held up with something to follow 1300m can be okay.

He closed from midfield for fourth, beaten 0.8 lengths, in the G1 at Randwick last start and now goes to his fourth run this prep. He was also second over 1000m when not fully tested. His strong late work makes him a major danger.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/12	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	0.7L
5/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1100m	OPEN	1.0L
2/12	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	0.4L
1/12	6 Sept 25	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	0.1L
2/13	26 Apr 25	Ascot	1200m	OPEN	0.2L
3/13	5 Apr 25	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.4L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

2. Headley Grange(10) · Zac Lloyd · T: Joseph Pride · 58.5kg · 457510X139

11.64

10.00Neds

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9.50

9.00

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10.00

9.00

9.50

8.50

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9.00

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Headley Grange

Barrier 10 · Jockey Zac Lloyd · Trainer Joseph Pride · 58.5kg · Form 457510X139

Model win 11.64 · place 3.63

Was $5.50 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Rosehill. Giving another chance here and proven performer at this trip in the past. Chance and can measure up.

At the latest run 9th of 15 in the G3 Alan Brown Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 1400m, 2.25 len behind Formal Display carrying 59.5kg at $5.50. Before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 10 in the G3 Bill Ritchie Handicap at this track on September 19 over 1400m, 1.2 len behind General Salute with 61kg at $4. Hard fit and must be included.

Had no room in the straight last start and was never fully tested in a blanket finish. Group 1 winner this trip. In the mix.

His form includes a G1 win over 1300m and a G2 victory at 1400m, before a held-up ninth in a G3 last start. This is his fourth run of the prep. That class gives him a chance, though his recent figures need to improve.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
9/15	10 Oct 26	Rosehill	1400m	Qlty	2.2L
3/10	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1400m	Qlty	1.2L
1/8	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	0.1L
10/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	4.7L
1/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	0.1L
5/13	18 Apr 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	1.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

5. Grafterburners(17) · Nash Rawiller · T: Kelly Schweida · 57.5kg · 11X300X841

15.67

13.00TAB

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13.00

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11.00

13.00

12.00

13.00

10.00

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13.00

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Grafterburners

Barrier 17 · Jockey Nash Rawiller · Trainer Kelly Schweida · 57.5kg · Form 11X300X841

Model win 15.67 · place 4.49

Strong effort to the line to win last start at this track and showing improvement in recent outings. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Will need everything to go right.

Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield and won by 1.4 len in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m on a rain affected track defeating Marhoona with 58.5kg at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 12 in the G2 Premiere Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, slow going 3 len behind Tempted with 58.5kg at $41. Terrible draw and will need a Nash special.

Attacked the line late behind Tempted two back. Got the right run from gate two and was too strong last time. Can win again.

He reaches his fourth-up run after winning a G2 over 1200m by 1.4 lengths last start, having previously finished fourth at the same level. He drops 1kg and remains a strong chance despite the extra 100m.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.4L
4/12	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	3.2L
8/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1100m	OPEN	1.8L
11/18	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	5.7L
13/15	16 May 26	Doomben	1200m	OPEN	6.7L
3/9	11 Apr 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

4. Pericles(2) · Dylan Gibbons · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 42X1357X77

19.68

17.00Sportsbet

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16.00

17.00

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16.00

17.00

15.00

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16.00

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Pericles

Barrier 2 · Jockey Dylan Gibbons · Trainer Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · Form 42X1357X77

Model win 19.68 · place 5.31

Was $13.00 and finished 7th last start around here but can find a nice position from the draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 7th of 13 in the G1 Manikato Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Jimmysstar carrying 58.5kg at $31. Comes up with a good gate and can sneak into the minor money.

Very wide in the run and very good in the Sydney Stakes. Up 100m now, which helps, but may peak next time? Each way.

Third-up, he has placed seventh in each of his last two starts, most recently in a G2 over 1200m after interference at the start. Earlier G1 form gives him stronger credentials than that sequence suggests, but he needs to convert his class into a finish here.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.2L
7/13	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	3.6L
7/13	18 Apr 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	2.6L
5/16	4 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	7.7L
3/12	21 Mar 26	Rosehill	1500m	OPEN	3.1L
1/8	21 Feb 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	0.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

3. Caballus(1) · Tim Clark · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 5181216X57

19.72

18.00PointsBet

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16.00

–

17.00

18.00

16.00

15.00

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17.00

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Caballus

Barrier 1 · Jockey Tim Clark · Trainer Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · Form 5181216X57

Model win 19.72 · place 5.32

Odds of $151.00 and came in 7th last start at this track but up against a less challenging field. Drawn the rails. Would need to step up.

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 12 in the G2 Premiere Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Tempted with 58.5kg at $8.50. Second-up 7th of 12 in a G1 The Everest at this track on October 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Tempted with 58.5kg at $151. Key chance on best form and maps well from the rails draw.

Held up from 500m to 300m then tried hard and held his ground in the Everest. Not as many big guns to tackle today. Top hope.

Third-up, he was seventh in the G1 over 1200m last start after being held up near the 400m, following a fifth in a G2. An earlier G1 win points to a higher ceiling, but his current form is below that level and needs to lift.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/12	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.5L
5/12	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	3.9L
6/13	18 Apr 26	Ascot	1200m	OPEN	1.8L
1/14	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1200m	OPEN	0.3L
2/6	14 Feb 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.2L
1/10	6 Dec 25	Doomben	1200m	Qlty	3.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

11. Marhoona(8) · Ms Rachel King · T: Michael Freedman · 56.5kg · 3X6214X632

27.37

26.00TAB

–

26.00

23.00

–

23.00

26.00

23.00

26.00

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26.00

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Marhoona

Barrier 8 · Jockey Ms Rachel King · Trainer Michael Freedman · 56.5kg · Form 3X6214X632

Model win 27.37 · place 6.79

Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd last run here and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Displaying good ability this preparation. Tough race will need luck.

Most recently 2nd of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 1.4 len behind Grafterburners carrying 56.5kg at $5.50. The race before that 3rd of 12 in the G2 Premiere Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, slow going 3 len behind Tempted carrying 56.5kg at $18. Not far away of late. Visors come off in a tougher race, minor place chance.

Honest mare who kept giving off a three-wide run in the Premiere second up. Tried hard again last time with the winner getting every hope.

She comes to her fourth run this prep after finishing runner-up in the G2 at Randwick last start, following a third and sixth in her previous two starts. She maps handy again and the extra 100m looks manageable, making her a solid chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	1.4L
3/12	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	3.0L
6/12	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	3.0L
4/9	11 Apr 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.3L
1/12	21 Mar 26	Rosehill	1100m	OPEN	0.1L
2/9	7 Mar 26	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

9. Spicy Martini(12) · Taylor Marshall · T: Toby Edmonds · 56.5kg · X60X121X40

30.80

31.00Sportsbet

–

26.00

31.00

–

23.00

29.00

26.00

21.00

–

26.00

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Spicy Martini

Barrier 12 · Jockey Taylor Marshall · Trainer Toby Edmonds · 56.5kg · Form X60X121X40

Model win 30.80 · place 7.41

Started $71.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last run at the track but competing in a less challenging grade. Difficult to warm to at present.

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a G2 The Shorts at this track on September 19 over 1100m, 0.7 len behind Mazu with 56kg at $19. Last start 10th of 12 in a G1 The Everest at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 5 len behind Tempted carrying 56.5kg at $71. Prepared to risk from the awkward gate.

Race shape helped when she battled on well for third in the Shorts first up. Too much pressure early in the Everest. Can do better.

Third-up, she was 10th in the G1 at Randwick last start after interference at the start and hampering near the turn. Before that, she recorded a fourth in a G2 and a G1 win over 1400m. The on-pace map is a positive, but she needs to bounce back.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
10/12	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	4.9L
4/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1100m	OPEN	0.7L
1/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	1.1L
2/15	16 May 26	Doomben	1200m	OPEN	1.0L
1/12	18 Apr 26	EagleFarm	1000m	Qlty	0.4L
10/13	18 Oct 25	Randwick	1300m	OPEN	5.6L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

10. Jokers Grin(9) · Zac Purton · T: Chris Waller · 56.5kg · 121X115X09

45.87

51.00PointsBet

–

34.00

41.00

–

35.00

51.00

41.00

34.00

31.00

–

41.00

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Jokers Grin

Barrier 9 · Jockey Zac Purton · Trainer Chris Waller · 56.5kg · Form 121X115X09

Model win 45.87 · place 10.00

Was $18.00 and came in 9th last run here. One that represents value at a decent price.

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up ran last of 11 in a G2 The Shorts at this track on September 19 over 1100m, 5 len behind Mazu with 56kg at $8.50. Second-up 9th of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 3.5 len behind Grafterburners with 58.5kg at $18. Has to show more.

It wasn't a terrible last in the Shorts. Wide with cover and closest on the line when trying hard in the Sydney Stakes. Ready?

Third-up, his last two official starts have resulted in ninth and 11th in Group races, beaten 3.4 and 4.8 lengths. He has plenty to turn around on those efforts.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
9/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	3.4L
11/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1100m	OPEN	4.8L
5/9	29 Nov 25	Ascot	1200m	OPEN	1.7L
1/9	15 Nov 25	Ascot	1100m	OPEN	0.6L
1/7	1 Nov 25	Ascot	1000m	OPEN	0.8L
1/13	26 Apr 25	Ascot	1200m	OPEN	0.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

13. King Of Roseau(11) · Tom Sherry · T: Peter Snowden · 56.5kg · 2411100X77

55.47

51.00TAB

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51.00

–

41.00

51.00

41.00

–

51.00

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King Of Roseau

Barrier 11 · Jockey Tom Sherry · Trainer Peter Snowden · 56.5kg · Form 2411100X77

Model win 55.47 · place 11.54

Was $71.00 and ran 7th last run around here but have to respect the form at this distance. Won a barrier trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th. Hard to have.

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 7th of 14 in the G2 Bobbie Lewis Quality at Flemington on September 12 over 1200m, 2 len behind Losesomewinmore carrying 57.5kg at $18. Second-up 7th of 12 in the G2 Premiere Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Tempted with 58.5kg at $71. Kept up to the mark with a trial win over 1030m, look for him late at the good odds.

Poked home well late when never a threat from the rear in the Premiere. Settles back-half and needs some luck, but not out of it.

Third-up, he comes off two consecutive seventh-place finishes in G2 sprints, the latest after being slowly away. A previous G3 win at Randwick is a plus, though his current form needs to improve.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
7/12	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	4.3L
7/14	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1200m	Qlty	2.1L
13/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	5.2L
15/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	8.8L
1/11	9 May 26	Gosford	1200m	Qlty	0.1L
1/12	28 Feb 26	Randwick	1300m	Qlty	1.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

12. Yellow Brick(7) · Sam Clipperton · T: Tony & Maddysen Sears · 56.5kg · X19X1001X8

67.05

71.00TAB

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71.00

61.00

–

51.00

67.00

61.00

51.00

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61.00

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Yellow Brick

Barrier 7 · Jockey Sam Clipperton · Trainer Tony & Maddysen Sears · 56.5kg · Form X19X1001X8

Model win 67.05 · place 13.32

Started $31.00 and ran 8th last run here but strong performer at this distance. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. A demanding task.

Second-up. First-up after four months 8th of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 2.5 len behind Grafterburners carrying 58.5kg at $31. Previously second-up ran last of 16 in the G1 Kingsford Smith Cup at Eagle Farm on May 30 over 1300m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Headley Grange with 59kg at $26. Others rate better this time.

Got a long way back first up and improved his position in the run home without threatening. Fitter here. See another?

Second-up, he was eighth in the G2 over 1200m last start after being struck at the start and awkwardly placed early. A G3 win over the same distance earlier in the prep is a positive, but the 1300m and tougher grade leave him with plenty to find.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
8/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.4L
1/13	27 June 26	EagleFarm	1200m	Qlty	0.2L
11/18	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	4.7L
16/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1300m	OPEN	9.0L
1/11	5 May 26	Rockhampton	1300m	OPEN	1.1L
9/18	17 Jan 26	GoldCoast	1400m	Qlty	2.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

15. Generosity(5) · Tyler Schiller · T: Chris Waller · 55.5kg · 37X156X780

119

151TAB

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151

101

–

101

126

101

–

101

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Generosity

Barrier 5 · Jockey Tyler Schiller · Trainer Chris Waller · 55.5kg · Form 37X156X780

Model win 119 · place 20.48

Started at $16.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last run around here. Does take a while to get into stride. Few more classier types in this race.

Dual acceptor. Last start 10th of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 4.5 len behind Grafterburners carrying 56.5kg at $16. The run before that 8th of 12 in the G2 Premiere Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Tempted carrying 56.5kg at $31. Outclassed.

Wide with a trail and just held her ground in the run home second up. Firm ground might be the key to her hitting back.

Fourth-up, her last three official runs have been seventh, eighth and 10th in G1 and G2 company, with the latest effort 4.7 lengths behind the winner. The sequence is flat and she needs stronger recent finishing form.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
10/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	4.7L
8/12	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	4.3L
7/13	5 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1000m	OPEN	3.8L
6/13	25 Apr 26	Morphettville	1200m	OPEN	1.8L
5/12	21 Mar 26	Rosehill	1100m	OPEN	0.4L
1/9	7 Mar 26	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

7. Coal Crusher(4) · Andrew Adkins · T: Joseph Pride · 57.5kg · 6412596X70

176

201TAB

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201

151

–

151

201

126

151

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126

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Coal Crusher

Barrier 4 · Jockey Andrew Adkins · Trainer Joseph Pride · 57.5kg · Form 6412596X70

Model win 176 · place 27.64

Started $101.00 and faded away to finish 16th last time here but proven performer at this trip. Should jump out and bowl along. Entitled to be a big price.

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up sat on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in a Bm100 at Warwick Farm on October 5 over 1000m, slow going 4 len behind Ice Kool carrying 65.5kg at $61. Second-up ran last of 16 in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 14 len behind Grafterburners carrying 58.5kg at $101. Not on recent runs.

Carried the grandstand first up. Caught wide second up and not knocked about late once beaten. Getting fitter.

Third-up, he finished 16th in the G2 over 1200m last start, beaten 14.3 lengths, after a seventh in a BM100. His recent form and figures point to a difficult assignment.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
16/16	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	14.3L
7/9	5 Oct 26	WarwickFarm	1000m	BM100	4.2L
6/10	6 Mar 26	Newcastle	1400m	Qlty	3.8L
9/12	28 Feb 26	Randwick	1300m	Qlty	5.4L
5/6	14 Feb 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	4.6L
2/10	13 Dec 25	Randwick	1200m	Qlty	0.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

17. Theblade(15) · Tyler Schiller · T: Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes · 56kg · 211X771X14

161

201TAB

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201

151

–

151

201

126

201

126

–

126

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Theblade

Barrier 15 · Jockey Tyler Schiller · Trainer Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes · 56kg · Form 211X771X14

Model win 161 · place 25.76

At $4.40 came in 4th last start around here and competing in a higher grade. The wide barrier shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Facing a difficult task.

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 2 len in a Bm88 at Rosehill on September 12 over 1200m defeating Eagle Express carrying 55.5kg at $8.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 in a Bm94 at this track on October 3 over 1200m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Wanaruah carrying 55.5kg at $4.40. Others rate better this time.

Sat outside the lead and quickened sharply for an easy first-up win. Rock-solid up in grade with a good run next time. Tougher here.

Third-up, he finished fourth in a BM94 over 1200m last start after winning a BM88 at the same trip. He now steps sharply up to G1 company. The on-pace map could see him prominent, but the class test looks steep.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/14	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	BM94	1.3L
1/10	12 Sept 26	Rosehill	1200m	BM88	2.1L
1/9	13 May 26	RandwickKensington	1400m	BM78	0.2L
7/15	25 Apr 26	Flemington	1400m	BM78	3.7L
7/14	4 Apr 26	Caulfield	1200m	BM78	2.3L
1/11	13 Dec 25	Randwick	1400m	BM78	1.7L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

14. Wanaruah scratched(14) · Ashley Morgan · T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 56kg · 0X8X211X01

Wanaruah

Barrier 14 · Jockey Ashley Morgan · Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 56kg · Form 0X8X211X01

Set the tempo to win by a nose last run at the track but up against stronger competition. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier.

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 12 in the G2 Concorde Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1000m, 7 len behind Tempted with 57kg at $61. Second-up won by a nose in a Bm94 at this track on October 3 over 1200m in soft going defeating Platinum Pantheon with 59.5kg at $17. Tested at this level.

Caught wide and found them too sharp first up over 1000m. Got control and kept kicking out to 1200m second up. Each way.

He heads into this third-up after a 0.1-length BM94 win over 1200m at Randwick, and the map again points to the lead. G1 company is a significant rise in class, so this is a tough task.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/14	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	BM94	0.1L
12/12	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1000m	OPEN	7.2L
1/11	6 June 26	Randwick	1100m	Qlty	0.7L
1/13	16 May 26	Scone	1100m	BM78	0.3L
2/13	2 May 26	Hawkesbury	1100m	BM78	0.5L
8/15	10 May 25	GoldCoast	1200m	OPEN	9.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

16. Chidiac scratched(6) · Braith Nock · T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 54.5kg · 835X1110X4

Chidiac

Barrier 6 · Jockey Braith Nock · Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 54.5kg · Form 835X1110X4

Jumped at $5.50 and advanced late into 4th last start here but facing a stronger group of contenders. Braith Nock is a suitable booking and carrying less weight this time.

Second run back. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 14 in a The Kosciuszko at this track on October 17 over 1200m, slow going 2.75 len behind Chains Of Love with 58kg at $5.50. Previously second-up won by 1.0 len in the Country Championships Final at this track on April 4 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Graceful Ellen with 55.5kg at $5.50. Others have her measure.

Never got a chance to build into the race after drifting back from a tricky gate in the Kosciuszko. Her late work was excellent.

Second-up, she returned with a fourth in an Open 1200m at Randwick, beaten 2.7 lengths after being held up. An earlier G3 win came over 1300m. She gets 3.5kg less here, but the rise to G1 company still looks steep.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/14	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1200m	OPEN	2.7L
11/11	6 June 26	Randwick	1100m	Qlty	3.8L
1/13	2 May 26	Hawkesbury	1300m	OPEN	0.1L
1/16	4 Apr 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	1.0L
1/14	8 Mar 26	Muswellbrook	1280m	CL5	0.3L
5/12	4 Nov 25	Randwick	1300m	OPEN	3.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

Runners in price order, shortest first. Tap a runner for its notes, last starts and its price over time at every book.

Runner	Model	Best	Betfair	TAB	Sportsbet	Ladbrokes	Neds	PointsBet	BetR	Unibet	Palmerbet	Picklebet	Dabble	FanDuel
1. Jimmysstar(16) · Ethan Brown · T: Ciaron Maher · 58.5kg · X75342X916	1.94	1.80Palmerbet	–	1.70	1.57	–	1.75	1.70	1.60	1.55	1.80	–	1.60	–
6. Ninja(13) · Tommy Berry · T: Michael Freedman · 57.5kg · X31215X195	2.10	1.85Neds	–	1.80	1.62	–	1.85	1.75	1.85	1.65	1.85	–	1.85	–
8. Headwall(3) · Chad Schofield · T: Matthew Smith · 56.5kg · 4232X1X254	2.15	1.95Neds	–	1.90	1.73	–	1.95	1.82	1.90	1.70	1.85	–	1.90	–
2. Headley Grange(10) · Zac Lloyd · T: Joseph Pride · 58.5kg · 457510X139	3.63	3.10Neds	–	2.90	2.40	–	3.10	2.90	2.80	2.70	2.70	–	2.80	–
5. Grafterburners(17) · Nash Rawiller · T: Kelly Schweida · 57.5kg · 11X300X841	4.49	3.70TAB	–	3.70	3.10	–	3.30	3.60	3.60	3.40	3.10	–	3.70	–
4. Pericles(2) · Dylan Gibbons · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 42X1357X77	5.31	4.20TAB	–	4.20	3.60	–	4.20	4.00	4.00	4.20	4.00	–	4.00	–
3. Caballus(1) · Tim Clark · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 5181216X57	5.32	4.50Neds	–	4.20	3.60	–	4.50	4.00	4.00	4.00	4.00	–	3.90	–
9. Spicy Martini(12) · Taylor Marshall · T: Toby Edmonds · 56.5kg · X60X121X40	7.41	6.00TAB	–	6.00	5.50	–	5.50	5.00	4.80	6.00	5.00	–	4.80	–
11. Marhoona(8) · Ms Rachel King · T: Michael Freedman · 56.5kg · 3X6214X632	6.79	6.00TAB	–	6.00	4.33	–	5.50	4.80	4.80	5.00	5.50	–	4.80	–
10. Jokers Grin(9) · Zac Purton · T: Chris Waller · 56.5kg · 121X115X09	10.00	8.00TAB	–	8.00	7.25	–	7.50	8.00	7.00	7.50	7.00	–	7.00	–
13. King Of Roseau(11) · Tom Sherry · T: Peter Snowden · 56.5kg · 2411100X77	11.54	9.50Unibet	–	8.00	8.50	–	8.50	8.00	8.00	9.50	8.50	–	8.00	–
12. Yellow Brick(7) · Sam Clipperton · T: Tony & Maddysen Sears · 56.5kg · X19X1001X8	13.32	13.00Unibet	–	11.00	10.00	–	9.50	9.50	9.00	13.00	11.00	–	9.00	–
15. Generosity(5) · Tyler Schiller · T: Chris Waller · 55.5kg · 37X156X780	20.48	21.00Unibet	–	17.00	14.50	–	16.00	17.00	15.00	21.00	18.00	–	15.00	–
7. Coal Crusher(4) · Andrew Adkins · T: Joseph Pride · 57.5kg · 6412596X70	27.64	31.00Unibet	–	30.00	21.00	–	21.00	20.00	17.00	31.00	26.00	–	17.00	–
17. Theblade(15) · Tyler Schiller · T: Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes · 56kg · 211X771X14	25.76	41.00Unibet	–	30.00	20.50	–	21.00	20.00	17.00	41.00	21.00	–	17.00	–
14. Wanaruah scratched(14) · Ashley Morgan · T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 56kg · 0X8X211X01
16. Chidiac scratched(6) · Braith Nock · T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough · 54.5kg · 835X1110X4

Runner	Opened	Now	Move
1. Jimmysstar(16) · Ethan Brown · T: Ciaron Maher · 58.5kg · X75342X916	4.60	4.40	▼ 4%
6. Ninja(13) · Tommy Berry · T: Michael Freedman · 57.5kg · X31215X195	5.50	4.60	▼ 16%
8. Headwall(3) · Chad Schofield · T: Matthew Smith · 56.5kg · 4232X1X254	4.80	4.80	0%
2. Headley Grange(10) · Zac Lloyd · T: Joseph Pride · 58.5kg · 457510X139	10.00	10.00	0%
5. Grafterburners(17) · Nash Rawiller · T: Kelly Schweida · 57.5kg · 11X300X841	10.00	13.00	▲ 30%
4. Pericles(2) · Dylan Gibbons · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 42X1357X77	17.00	17.00	0%
3. Caballus(1) · Tim Clark · T: Bjorn Baker · 58.5kg · 5181216X57	15.00	18.00	▲ 20%
11. Marhoona(8) · Ms Rachel King · T: Michael Freedman · 56.5kg · 3X6214X632	21.00	26.00	▲ 24%
9. Spicy Martini(12) · Taylor Marshall · T: Toby Edmonds · 56.5kg · X60X121X40	26.00	31.00	▲ 19%
10. Jokers Grin(9) · Zac Purton · T: Chris Waller · 56.5kg · 121X115X09	34.00	51.00	▲ 50%
13. King Of Roseau(11) · Tom Sherry · T: Peter Snowden · 56.5kg · 2411100X77	61.00	51.00	▼ 16%
12. Yellow Brick(7) · Sam Clipperton · T: Tony & Maddysen Sears · 56.5kg · X19X1001X8	61.00	71.00	▲ 16%
15. Generosity(5) · Tyler Schiller · T: Chris Waller · 55.5kg · 37X156X780	81.00	151	▲ 86%
7. Coal Crusher(4) · Andrew Adkins · T: Joseph Pride · 57.5kg · 6412596X70	151	201	▲ 33%
17. Theblade(15) · Tyler Schiller · T: Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes · 56kg · 211X771X14	151	201	▲ 33%

Opened: the longest opening price among the bookmakers. Now: the best price now. Firming ▼ means the price has shortened.

Racing and Sports

HEADWALL (8) has been thereabouts without winning, the latest finishing a 0.7 lengths fourth in the G1 The Everest at this track and drops in the weights for this. Settles back early but winds up late. Will prove hard to hold out. GRAFTERBURNERS (5) came from well back on the bend to score last time out over 1200m in the G2 Sydney Stakes at this track. Best form puts him right in this. CABALLUS (3) is yet to find the frame in two runs since resuming from a spell, the latest when seventh over 1200m in the G1 The Everest at this track. Cherry-ripe now and is ready to show what he can do. NINJA (6) was beaten 1.5 lengths into fifth in a 1200m contest at this track two weeks ago. Nicely placed to find some form.

Dabble

JIMMYSSTAR (1) Finished 6th last start at this track. May see an upturn in form and drops back to a suitable grade. Good to see Ethan Brown is jumping on. Rates well in this race. HEADLEY GRANGE (2) Struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Rosehill. Giving another chance here and have to respect the form at the trip. Has to be strongly considered. JOKERS GRIN (10) Came in 9th last run at this track. Definite claims. PERICLES (4) Finished 7th last start around here but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Must come into consideration.

Timeform (FanDuel)

HEADWALL (8) loomed strongly out wide but peaked on the run with a courageous fourth in the G1 The Everest over 6f at this track. Drops in weight and grade and look for him launching late at his first attempt at the 6 ½f. NINJA (6) was a month between runs with a tenacious on-speed fifth in the G1 The Everest. Should be at his top fourth up and his unbeaten record at the trip keeps him right in contention. CABALLUS (3) drifted back from the awkward draw and like the way he warmed up late with a respectable seventh in the G1 The Everest. Can make good use of the rails draw and take a hand in the finish. JIMMYSSTAR (1) shuffled back to last and never looked a winning prospect when sixth in the G1 The Everest. Won this race last year by a big space from a low gate. Awkward draw today and will need plenty of luck. GRAFTERBURNERS (5) dominant G2 Sydney Stakes winner over 6f at this course who faces a daunting prospect from the wide barrier. Much stronger race and has minor claims.

Palmerbet

Five of these come out of the Everest and HEADWALL (8) fared best of them, looming up before peaking late, beaten just 0.7 lengths. He drops 2kg for his first try at 1300m, and a strongly run race plays into his hands. JIMMYSSTAR (1) won this race by daylight last year and worked home from last in the Everest, but barrier 15 is the big ask. NINJA (6) sat closer in the same race and battled on, 1.5 lengths away, dropping in grade and unbeaten at the trip. GRAFTERBURNERS (5) swept from midfield to win the Sydney Stakes by 1.4 lengths at Randwick, barrier 16 the lone knock.

Best Bets

14 and 17 to lead 3 and 7. In recent years it's been pretty easy to find the winner of this race - JIMMYSSTAR last year off an Everest 3rd and Bella Nipotina in 2024 after winning the big one a fortnight before. Clearly those coming through the $20M feature are easily fancied here again, with HEADWALL beaten within 1L. Put any of Ka Ying Rising, Tempted or Joliestar in this race and you have yourself a short priced favourite. I concede HEADWALL has not the record of any of that trio but it's still a high level last start performance to bring alone. NINJA and JIMMYSSTAR were both sound and not far behind him.

Darren Flindell

The Balding Stakes worth 3 million dollars over 1300m at Group 2 level will start the quaddie. 8. HEADWALL was very brave when finishing fourth in The Everest here a fortnight ago, racing wide with cover, then peaking inside the last 100m. He can be ridden with a smother here from a perfect draw, and the only niggle will be racing over 1300m for the first time. Hard to beat. 6. NINJA was right in the fight when finishing fifth in The Everest while racing in tight quarters late. He has no problem stepping up to 1300m, and will only need some luck from a wide gate, to go close to winning this. 3. CABALLUS was ridden for luck in The Everest, found none when launching his bid in the run to the line, finishing an untested seventh. He gets a big swing in his draw this time, and has to be respected on an each-way basis. 1. JIMMYSSTAR was another who should have finished closer in The Everest, and his Manikato win prior, puts him right in the frame here. Stick with him.

Racing Central

THEBLADE (17), COAL CRUSHER (7) and SPICY MARTINI (9) all project forward, while MARHOONA (11) is also mapped on pace; the contest for control should give backmarker JIMMYSSTAR (1) a tempo to chase. JIMMYSSTAR (1) was sixth, beaten 1.9 lengths, in the G1 at Randwick last start after being held up, and his G1 second over 1300m earlier this year supports the trip. HEADWALL (8) closed for fourth, beaten 0.8 lengths, in the same race and is a major danger. NINJA (6) was fifth, 1.5 lengths away after interference, and has a G2 win at 1200m three starts back. GRAFTERBURNERS (5) arrives off a 1.4-length G2 win and drops 1kg; the extra 100m is the main test.

Prices are each bookmaker's public price as MarketMover last read it, checked at 11:16 pm Sydney time; a dash is a book that has not opened this race yet. Prices move, and the bookmaker's own price is the one you get. The Model's price is MarketMover's own, from public prices and form: a price to compare against, not a tip; its record is public.

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R7 The Russell Balding Stakes 2026 odds

Result

Jimmysstar

Last starts

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Ninja

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Headwall

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Headley Grange

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Grafterburners

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Pericles

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Caballus

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Marhoona

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Spicy Martini

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Jokers Grin

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King Of Roseau

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Yellow Brick

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Generosity

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Coal Crusher

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Theblade

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Wanaruah

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Chidiac

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leader

on pace

midfield

off pace

backmarker

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