Big races › Flemington › Race 7

R7 Howden Victoria Derby 2026 odds

Flemington race 7, Saturday 31 October 2026, 4:20 pm AEDT. Group 1 · Thoroughbreds · 2500m · $3,000,000 · Good 4 · Ocast

Result

1st 2. Stormy Marco
2nd 14. Cold Shower
3rd 16. Quick Finish
4th 5. Murshidi

Betfair SP Win 2 $4.92

Runner

Model

Best

Trend

Betfair back

TAB

Sportsbet

Ladbrokes

Neds

PointsBet

BetR

Unibet

Palmerbet

Picklebet

Dabble

FanDuel

Betfair lay

2. Stormy Marco(16) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 183x2954

5.24

4.40TAB

–

4.40

–

4.40

4.20

4.40

–

4.40

–

Stormy Marco

Barrier 16 · Jockey James Mc Donald · Trainer Chris Waller · 57kg · Form 183x2954

Model win 5.24 · place 2.27

On a short back up. At $10.00 passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Randwick. James Mcdonald is a crucial engagement. Should get going late. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Last start 4th of 9 in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick on October 24 over 2000m, 3 len behind Proxima Dea carrying 56.5kg at $10. The run before that got back early 5th of 10 in the G3 Gloaming Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 1800m, 0.5 len behind Proxima Dea with 56.5kg at $6.50. Big run last week, J-Mac offsets the gate and he'll be very hard to beat.

Went back last week, running the equal-fastest last 400m (23.64). Good late the start before too. Rise in trip should help. Consider.

His fifth-up campaign has yielded a fourth over 2000m and a close fifth over 1800m in his last two starts. The backmarker map depends on the expected pace, but his class makes him a key danger.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/9	24 Oct 26	Randwick	2000m	OPEN	2.9L
5/10	10 Oct 26	Rosehill	1800m	OPEN	0.5L
9/12	26 Sept 26	Rosehill	1400m	OPEN	6.8L
2/10	12 Sept 26	Rosehill	1400m	Qlty	0.6L
3/12	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1600m	OPEN	1.7L
8/16	30 May 26	EagleFarm	1400m	OPEN	3.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

1. Cormier(3) · Jamie Mott · T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich · 57kg · 122x0843

7.75

6.50Sportsbet

–

6.00

6.50

–

6.00

6.50

6.00

–

6.00

–

Cormier

Barrier 3 · Jockey Jamie Mott · Trainer Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich · 57kg · Form 122x0843

Model win 7.75 · place 2.95

On a quick back up. Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Randwick. Expecting a solid performance.

Recent form sound. Last start led but faded 3rd of 9 in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick on October 24 over 2000m, 1.75 len behind Proxima Dea with 56.5kg at $16. The run before that 4th of 10 in the G3 Gloaming Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 1800m, long-neck behind Proxima Dea with 56.5kg at $4.20. Can improve again. Will stay all day and sets up beautifully from the gate.

NSW colt who's battled on solidly at his past two. Likely to settle forward and give a sight. Each-way claims.

Fifth-up, he comes off a third over 2000m at Randwick, having previously finished a close fourth over 1800m, and maps on pace for the rise to 2500m. His recent figures are the strongest and he is hard to beat.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
3/9	24 Oct 26	Randwick	2000m	OPEN	1.7L
4/10	10 Oct 26	Rosehill	1800m	OPEN	0.4L
8/12	26 Sept 26	Rosehill	1400m	OPEN	6.6L
10/11	12 Sept 26	Rosehill	1200m	OPEN	4.9L
2/12	13 June 26	EagleFarm	1600m	OPEN	0.9L
2/9	30 May 26	Rosehill	1300m	OPEN	1.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

8. Cignetti(12) · William Pike · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 35x1233

9.19

8.00Unibet

–

7.50

–

7.50

8.00

7.50

–

7.50

–

Cignetti

Barrier 12 · Jockey William Pike · Trainer Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · Form 35x1233

Model win 9.19 · place 3.32

Right up there last time at Caulfield but up against tougher opponents. Displays good tactical speed. William Pike rates highly aboard. Been in the money each start this campaign. Forward showing expected.

Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 8 in the G3 Caulfield Classic on October 17 over 2000m, head behind King Snitz with 57kg at $6.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 in the LR Super Impose Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1800m, on heavy track; 3.5 len behind Miss Waititi with 57kg at $8. Wins in another stride last time, looks a solid chance.

No match but sound on heavy here two back. Should have finished closer three back. Just missed latest. Can settle in the first few and contend.

He was third, beaten 0.2 lengths, over 2000m at Caulfield last start and is now fifth-up after a fourth at Flemington. Progressing well and settling off the pace, he can take another step at 2500m.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
3/8	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	0.2L
3/12	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1800m	OPEN	3.3L
2/6	5 Sept 26	Sandown-Hillside	1500m	OPEN	3.5L
1/14	21 Aug 26	Sale	1400m	MDN	1.8L
5/10	25 Apr 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	4.0L
3/8	2 Apr 26	Pakenham	1200m	MDN	1.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

3. True Rebel(17) · Billy Egan · T: Danny O'Brien · 57kg · 3121

11.40

10.00TAB

–

10.00

9.50

–

10.00

–

10.00

–

True Rebel

Barrier 17 · Jockey Billy Egan · Trainer Danny O'Brien · 57kg · Form 3121

Model win 11.40 · place 3.88

On a quick turnaround. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run at this venue and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Up against stronger rivals. Strong prospects.

Racing well recently. Last start favourite; came from midfield and won by 0.5 len in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track on October 24 over 2040m defeating Skua carrying 57kg at $2.60. The run before that 2nd of 8 in a 3yo Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 1600m, head behind Mister Whiskers carrying 58.5kg at $2.90. Good win last week albeit with all favours, can't dismiss.

Just missed two back. Stepped up in trip last week, settled six lengths away and proved too strong. Include.

Now fifth-up, he won over 2040m at Flemington last start after a close second at Caulfield. His strong progression and latest staying win make the extra trip appealing.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	2040m	OPEN	0.5L
2/8	14 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	BM70	0.2L
1/10	23 Sept 26	Geelong	1525m	MDN	0.8L
3/12	6 Sept 26	Bendigo	1300m	MDN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

7. Skua(13) · John Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 2x31662

13.54

12.00Sportsbet

–

11.00

12.00

–

11.00

12.00

11.00

–

11.00

–

Skua

Barrier 13 · Jockey John Allen · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 57kg · Form 2x31662

Model win 13.54 · place 4.39

Backing up quickly. Claimed late when 2nd last time at this venue but up against a more competitive field. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Slim hope.

At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track on October 24 over 2040m, 0.5 len behind True Rebel carrying 57kg at $21. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in the G3 Caulfield Classic on October 17 over 2000m, 5 len behind King Snitz carrying 57kg at $10. Kept kicking last week, fancy he'll stay all day.

On-pacer who overraced and faded two back. Shared the lead and kept rallying when runner-up last week. Should be competitive.

He chased home True Rebel over 2040m at Flemington last start after leading, and now goes sixth-up. He maps on pace again and has sound staying form, although the extra trip is another test.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	2040m	OPEN	0.5L
6/8	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	4.9L
6/12	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1800m	OPEN	4.9L
1/7	10 Sept 26	Seymour	1600m	MDN	0.8L
3/14	7 Aug 26	Seymour	1400m	MDN	0.8L
2/9	6 Mar 26	Newcastle	1300m	OPEN	1.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

6. Vallice(14) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 51x44522

14.19

13.00Unibet

–

12.00

11.00

–

12.00

11.00

13.00

12.00

–

12.00

–

Vallice

Barrier 14 · Jockey Mark Zahra · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 57kg · Form 51x44522

Model win 14.19 · place 4.55

Right up there last time at Caulfield but competing at a higher grade. Keep safe.

Racing well recently. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 in the G3 Caulfield Classic on October 17 over 2000m, nose behind King Snitz with 57kg at $4.40. Before that 2nd of 12 in the LR Super Impose Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1800m, in the wet; 2.5 len behind Miss Waititi with 57kg at $4.20. Had chance latest but is in the minor mix again.

Went to the lead in a change of tactics last start, found plenty, missed narrowly. Runner-up from the back on heavy here prior. Consider.

Sixth-up, he was runner-up to King Snitz over 2000m last start after another second at Flemington. Recent figures keep him in contention, but 2500m presents a substantial stamina test.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/8	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	0.1L
2/12	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1800m	OPEN	2.5L
5/9	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	3.4L
4/6	22 Aug 26	Sandown-Hillside	1400m	OPEN	4.5L
4/9	8 Aug 26	CaulfieldHeath	1200m	OPEN	0.9L
1/9	3 June 26	Sandown-Lakeside	1400m	OPEN	1.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

4. King Snitz(6) · Damian Lane · T: Shane Jackson · 57kg · 9311

15.76

14.00Neds

–

13.00

–

14.00

13.00

14.00

–

14.00

–

King Snitz

Barrier 6 · Jockey Damian Lane · Trainer Shane Jackson · 57kg · Form 9311

Model win 15.76 · place 4.91

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Caulfield and promising career start. Unbeaten last 2 starts but up against tougher rivals. Rates as one of the key chances.

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a nose in the G3 Caulfield Classic on October 17 over 2000m defeating Vallice with 57kg at $16. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by 3 len in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on September 21 over 2000m defeating Los Bravos with 57kg at $1.70. Won key lead up nicely and should stay strongly.

Relished the rise to 2000m in easy maiden win two back. Stepped up to this class and got the nod latest. Chance again.

He arrives fifth-up in form after two straight wins, most recently a close success over 2000m at Caulfield. The step to 2500m is the test, but his upward curve gives him strong claims.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/8	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	0.1L
1/10	21 Sept 26	Warrnambool	2000m	MDN	3.0L
3/9	11 Sept 26	Geelong	1700m	MDN	1.4L
9/11	28 Aug 26	Geelong	1347m	MDN	5.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

5. Murshidi(18) · Blake Shinn · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 6x7321

15.71

14.00Sportsbet

–

12.00

14.00

–

13.00

14.00

13.00

–

14.00

–

Murshidi

Barrier 18 · Jockey Blake Shinn · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 57kg · Form 6x7321

Model win 15.71 · place 4.90

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Geelong and putting a tidy record together. Producing consistent results since returning from a break. Could feature here.

Last start came from midfield and won by a neck in the LR Geelong Classic on October 21 over 2200m defeating Icy You with 57kg at $3.70. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1765m, slow going 3.5 len behind Fringilla carrying 57kg at $2.30. Against the Geelong form.

Costly second two starts ago, but cound behind leader/winner Fringilla. Relished rise to 2200m in narrow last-start win. Include.

Fifth-up, he won over 2200m at Geelong last start by 0.3 lengths after a second over 1765m. His form is building, though the Derby rise to 2500m is a significant class and stamina test.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/13	21 Oct 26	Geelong	2200m	OPEN	0.3L
2/9	7 Oct 26	Geelong	1765m	MDN	3.3L
3/9	20 Sept 26	Bendigo	1500m	MDN	1.7L
7/12	6 Sept 26	Bendigo	1300m	MDN	3.2L
6/8	3 Jan 26	Geelong	1100m	OPEN	6.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

9. Icy You(10) · Craig Williams · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 21242

16.42

15.00TAB

–

15.00

14.00

–

15.00

14.00

15.00

–

14.00

–

Icy You

Barrier 10 · Jockey Craig Williams · Trainer Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · Form 21242

Model win 16.42 · place 5.07

Right in the mix last time at Geelong but facing a stronger group of contenders. Showing great form this campaign. A demanding task.

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 13 in the LR Geelong Classic on October 21 over 2200m, neck behind Murshidi with 57kg at $7.50. The start before that 4th of 12 in the LR Super Impose Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1800m, on a wet track; 3.5 len behind Miss Waititi carrying 57kg at $14. Risking.

Fought well on heavy here two back. Shared the lead latest, pressured before the turn, showed fight for a brave second. Consider.

Sixth-up, he finished a close second over 2200m at Geelong last start after a fourth and a third in stronger company. The step to 2500m looks manageable, and the off-pace map leaves him with a live chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/13	21 Oct 26	Geelong	2200m	OPEN	0.3L
4/12	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1800m	OPEN	3.3L
2/8	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1800m	OPEN	0.4L
1/7	30 Aug 26	Echuca	1600m	MDN	4.8L
2/10	16 Aug 26	PakenhamSynthetic	1600m	MDN	1.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

16. Quick Finish(11) · Jye Mcneil · T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy · 55kg · 5111

24.16

26.00TAB

–

26.00

21.00

–

23.00

21.00

–

23.00

–

Quick Finish

Barrier 11 · Jockey Jye Mcneil · Trainer Tony & Calvin Mcevoy · 55kg · Form 5111

Model win 24.16 · place 6.76

Led and controlled the pace when winning by 1/2L last time at Caulfield but competing at a higher level of competition. Can't knock the form winning 3 in succession. Entitled to be a big price.

At the latest run won by 0.5 len in a G3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 2000m defeating Your Colour carrying 56kg at $15. The start before that won by a long-neck in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield on September 19 over 1800m defeating Icy You carrying 57kg at $6. Rare attempt by a filly in the Derby, fancy other formlines stronger.

On-pace filly who completed her hat-trick latest, finding plenty from the front. Beat Icy You at previous. Racing well. Include.

Fifth-up, he led throughout to win over 2000m at Caulfield last start, following another win over 1800m. He maps to set the pace again, and the light impost strengthens his case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/14	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	0.5L
1/8	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1800m	OPEN	0.4L
1/10	11 Aug 26	BallaratSynthetic	1500m	MDN	2.0L
5/12	30 July 26	Bendigo	1400m	MDN	3.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

10. True Tone(15) · Jason Collett · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 44213

29.58

29.00PointsBet

–

26.00

27.00

–

26.00

29.00

26.00

–

26.00

–

True Tone

Barrier 15 · Jockey Jason Collett · Trainer Chris Waller · 57kg · Form 44213

Model win 29.58 · place 7.88

Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run at Geelong but matched against a stronger field. Tracking very well this preparation. Would rather look at others.

Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 13 in the LR Geelong Classic on October 21 over 2200m, 1.0 len behind Murshidi carrying 57kg at $2.60. The start before that favourite; won by a nose in a Super Mdn at Warwick Farm on October 5 over 1600m in soft going defeating Tharwa with 55.5kg at $2.80. Can improve again but other form stronger.

Narrow maiden winner two back. Settled behind the pace, loomed up and fought on well for third in the Geelong Classic.

His third over 2200m at Geelong last start followed a maiden win and a second, with the campaign now six-up. The form is heading in the right direction, but 2500m in this grade is a demanding step.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
3/13	21 Oct 26	Geelong	2200m	OPEN	1.0L
1/9	5 Oct 26	WarwickFarm	1600m	MDN	0.1L
2/8	24 Sept 26	Hawkesbury	1500m	MDN	0.3L
4/7	9 Sept 26	RandwickKensington	1550m	MDN	2.1L
4/11	29 Aug 26	KemblaGrange	1200m	MDN	2.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

13. Russian Rock(7) · Michael Dee · T: Michael Trotter · 57kg · 3x154

30.94

31.00TAB

–

31.00

26.00

–

27.00

29.00

26.00

–

31.00

–

Russian Rock

Barrier 7 · Jockey Michael Dee · Trainer Michael Trotter · 57kg · Form 3x154

Model win 30.94 · place 8.15

Started $2.90 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start at Caulfield but stepping up to a higher level. Others much better.

Last start 4th of 8 in the G3 Caulfield Classic on October 17 over 2000m, 4.5 len behind King Snitz with 57kg at $2.90. The run before that 5th of 9 in the G2 Bill Stutt Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1600m, 2.25 len behind Diameter carrying 57kg at $31. Well backed last time but needs to go to a new level.

Backed from $3.40 to $2.90 latest, settled back off a slow start, ground to the line. Ran on well at previous. Place.

Fourth-up, he was fourth over 2000m at Caulfield last start after a fifth over 1600m. The midfield map is workable, but his recent figures need to improve at 2500m.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
4/8	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	2000m	OPEN	4.4L
5/9	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	2.3L
1/10	13 Sept 26	Kilmore	1450m	MDN	0.8L
3/10	25 Mar 26	Sandown-Lakeside	1400m	OPEN	1.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

15. King Winston(9) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Greg Eurell · 57kg · 0245

61.35

61.00Neds

–

51.00

46.00

–

61.00

51.00

61.00

–

61.00

–

King Winston

Barrier 9 · Jockey Daniel Stackhouse · Trainer Greg Eurell · 57kg · Form 0245

Model win 61.35 · place 13.72

On a quick back up. Started at $61.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at this venue but up in class. Long shot.

Last start 5th of 11 in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track on October 24 over 2040m, 3.5 len behind True Rebel carrying 57kg at $61. The race before that 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 1765m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Fringilla carrying 57kg at $10. Should stay well but doubt he has the class.

Drifted back last Saturday, ran third-fastest last 400m (25.17). A long way from Fringilla and Murshidi at previous. Place.

Fifth-up, he was fifth over 2040m at Flemington last start after a well-beaten fourth over 1765m. The backmarker map means he needs a sharp improvement.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
5/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	2040m	OPEN	3.3L
4/9	7 Oct 26	Geelong	1765m	MDN	9.8L
2/10	20 Sept 26	Bendigo	1600m	MDN	1.5L
11/12	6 Sept 26	Bendigo	1300m	MDN	5.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

12. Written Empire(2) · Harry Coffey · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 57kg · 4136

77.50

91.00Sportsbet

–

81.00

91.00

–

71.00

81.00

67.00

71.00

–

71.00

–

Written Empire

Barrier 2 · Jockey Harry Coffey · Trainer Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 57kg · Form 4136

Model win 77.50 · place 16.40

Backs up quickly. Odds of $7.50 and came in 6th last run around here but has a positive draw. Has plenty of early speed. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Appears tested in this event.

Last start 6th of 11 in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track on October 24 over 2040m, 3.5 len behind True Rebel with 57kg at $7.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 in a 3yo Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 1600m, 1.4 len behind Mister Whiskers carrying 58.5kg at $4.40. Okay last week and maps well, rough top four hope.

Settled just off pace last week, just holding ground in the straight. Stuck on for third at previous. Place.

Fifth-up, he finished sixth over 2040m at Flemington last start after a third at Caulfield and an earlier maiden win. He maps forward but needs to improve on his recent figures for the 2500m test.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	2040m	OPEN	3.3L
3/8	14 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	BM70	1.4L
1/9	20 Sept 26	Bendigo	1500m	MDN	0.4L
4/12	6 Sept 26	Bendigo	1300m	MDN	0.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

14. Cold Shower(5) · Jett Stanley · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 316

111

126TAB

–

126

101

–

126

101

126

–

101

–

Cold Shower

Barrier 5 · Jockey Jett Stanley · Trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · Form 316

Model win 111 · place 21.56

Was $12.00 and found wanting late when 6th last start at Geelong but matched against tougher rivals. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a spell. Entitled to be big odds.

Last start 6th of 13 in the LR Geelong Classic on October 21 over 2200m, 4.5 len behind Murshidi with 57kg at $12. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 2.25 len in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 2270m in soft going defeating Gradivus carrying 58kg at $2.60. Other form stronger.

Easy maiden winner at second start. Settled just off pace and lost ground late with every chance in the Geelong Classic. Place.

Fourth-up, he finished sixth over 2200m at Geelong last start after winning over 2270m there two runs earlier. His staying credentials are sound, but his recent figures need to rebound in stronger company.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/13	21 Oct 26	Geelong	2200m	OPEN	4.5L
1/8	7 Oct 26	Geelong	2270m	MDN	2.3L
3/14	18 Sept 26	Ballarat	2000m	MDN	3.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

17. Meet The Prince(1) · Jackson Radley · T: Patrick Kearney · 57kg · 5x0622

180

201TAB

–

201

151

–

201

126

201

–

126

–

Meet The Prince

Barrier 1 · Jockey Jackson Radley · Trainer Patrick Kearney · 57kg · Form 5x0622

Model win 180 · place 31.20

Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Echuca and has the ideal draw. Challenged by a tougher grade. Form will be tested here.

Dual acceptor. Last start made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Echuca on October 19 over 2100m, 1.0 len behind Notre Citrouille carrying 57kg at $4.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Manangatang on October 10 over 1550m, long-neck behind Misil Beauty with 57.5kg at $3.10. Outclassed.

Runner-up in easier races at past two. Ticking along okay, but suspect this class will test. Place best.

Back-to-back seconds, including a runner-up finish over 2100m last start, show clear staying progression; he is now fifth-up. The jump to 2500m in a Derby is a major ask, leaving him an outside chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/11	19 Oct 26	Echuca	2100m	MDN	1.0L
2/10	10 Oct 26	Manangatang	1550m	MDN	0.4L
6/12	25 Sept 26	Coleraine	1400m	MDN	1.7L
10/11	7 Sept 26	Tatura	1000m	MDN	6.4L
5/6	5 Apr 26	Penola	1400m	MDN	5.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

11. Hierarchy scratched(4) · Ben Melham · T: A & S Freedman · 57kg · 3148

Hierarchy

Barrier 4 · Jockey Ben Melham · Trainer A & S Freedman · 57kg · Form 3148

Backing up quickly for this race. At $8.00 below par when 8th last run here and taking on stronger rivals.

At the latest run got back early 8th of 11 in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track on October 24 over 2040m, 4.5 len behind True Rebel carrying 57kg at $8. The run before that 4th of 8 in a 3yo Bm70 at Caulfield on October 14 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Mister Whiskers carrying 59kg at $6.50. Got home fairly well last week but still needs to improve a long way.

Went back from the outside alley last week, running the best last 400m/200m. Solid behind leader/winner prior. Bred for the trip. Consider.

Now fifth-up, he has work to do after finishing eighth over 2040m at Flemington last start, following a fourth at Caulfield. His recent figures and the rise to 2500m make this a tough assignment.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
8/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	2040m	OPEN	4.5L
4/8	14 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	BM70	1.7L
1/10	25 Sept 26	Cranbourne	1400m	MDN	1.5L
3/10	4 Sept 26	Mornington	1200m	MDN	2.5L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

18. Locked In scratched(8) · Ben Allen · T: K & K Keys · 57kg · 9749

Locked In

Barrier 8 · Jockey Ben Allen · Trainer K & K Keys · 57kg · Form 9749

Average at best when 9th last start at Geelong and racing against tougher rivals.

Last start eased back early on 9th of 13 in the LR Geelong Classic on October 21 over 2200m, 6 len behind Murshidi carrying 57kg at $151. Before that 4th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 2270m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Cold Shower with 58kg at $6. Outclassed.

Went back from barrier 13 in the Geelong Classic and never a factor in a race where few made ground from the back. Place best.

On his fourth-up outing, he finished ninth over 2200m at Geelong last start, beaten 6.9 lengths, after a well-beaten fourth over 2270m. The backmarker map offers little help, and his recent form leaves him with a difficult task.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
9/13	21 Oct 26	Geelong	2200m	OPEN	6.9L
4/8	7 Oct 26	Geelong	2270m	MDN	6.5L
7/7	10 Sept 26	Seymour	1600m	MDN	4.8L
9/10	28 June 26	Sale	1205m	MDN	3.8L

Price over time

TABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetDabble

Runners in price order, shortest first. Tap a runner for its notes, last starts and its price over time at every book.

Runner	Model	Best	Betfair	TAB	Sportsbet	Ladbrokes	Neds	PointsBet	BetR	Unibet	Palmerbet	Picklebet	Dabble	FanDuel
2. Stormy Marco(16) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 183x2954	2.27	1.95TAB	–	1.95	1.80	–	1.95	1.80	1.85	1.75	1.85	–	1.85	–
1. Cormier(3) · Jamie Mott · T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich · 57kg · 122x0843	2.95	2.40BetR	–	2.30	2.38	–	2.35	2.25	2.40	2.25	2.30	–	2.25	–
8. Cignetti(12) · William Pike · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 35x1233	3.32	2.70TAB	–	2.70	2.40	–	2.70	2.65	2.65	2.55	2.60	–	2.65	–
3. True Rebel(17) · Billy Egan · T: Danny O'Brien · 57kg · 3121	3.88	3.30TAB	–	3.30	2.80	–	3.30	3.30	3.30	3.00	3.20	–	3.30	–
7. Skua(13) · John Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 2x31662	4.39	3.50TAB	–	3.50	3.25	–	3.50	3.10	3.50	3.50	3.50	–	3.50	–
6. Vallice(14) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 51x44522	4.55	3.70TAB	–	3.70	3.10	–	3.70	3.60	3.50	3.70	3.70	–	3.60	–
5. Murshidi(18) · Blake Shinn · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 6x7321	4.90	4.00Neds	–	3.70	3.60	–	4.00	4.00	3.80	3.70	3.90	–	3.90	–
4. King Snitz(6) · Damian Lane · T: Shane Jackson · 57kg · 9311	4.91	4.20Neds	–	3.90	3.60	–	4.20	4.00	3.80	3.70	4.00	–	3.90	–
9. Icy You(10) · Craig Williams · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 21242	5.07	4.40TAB	–	4.40	3.60	–	4.40	4.20	3.90	3.90	4.20	–	3.90	–
10. True Tone(15) · Jason Collett · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 44213	7.88	7.00TAB	–	7.00	5.50	–	6.50	6.00	5.00	6.50	6.50	–	5.00	–
13. Russian Rock(7) · Michael Dee · T: Michael Trotter · 57kg · 3x154	8.15	7.00TAB	–	7.00	5.50	–	6.50	6.00	6.50	6.50	6.50	–	6.50	–
16. Quick Finish(11) · Jye Mcneil · T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy · 55kg · 5111	6.76	7.00TAB	–	7.00	4.50	–	6.00	4.80	4.80	6.00	6.00	–	4.80	–
15. King Winston(9) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Greg Eurell · 57kg · 0245	13.72	12.00Neds	–	10.00	8.50	–	12.00	10.00	8.50	12.00	12.00	–	10.00	–
12. Written Empire(2) · Harry Coffey · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 57kg · 4136	16.40	16.00TAB	–	16.00	15.50	–	13.00	13.00	12.00	16.00	14.00	–	12.00	–
14. Cold Shower(5) · Jett Stanley · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 316	21.56	26.00Unibet	–	24.00	16.50	–	20.00	16.00	18.00	26.00	21.00	–	16.00	–
17. Meet The Prince(1) · Jackson Radley · T: Patrick Kearney · 57kg · 5x0622	31.20	41.00Unibet	–	35.00	23.50	–	27.00	21.00	18.00	41.00	34.00	–	18.00	–
11. Hierarchy scratched(4) · Ben Melham · T: A & S Freedman · 57kg · 3148
18. Locked In scratched(8) · Ben Allen · T: K & K Keys · 57kg · 9749

Runner	Opened	Now	Move
2. Stormy Marco(16) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 183x2954	5.00	4.40	▼ 12%
1. Cormier(3) · Jamie Mott · T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich · 57kg · 122x0843	7.00	6.50	▼ 7%
8. Cignetti(12) · William Pike · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 35x1233	20.00	8.00	▼ 60%
3. True Rebel(17) · Billy Egan · T: Danny O'Brien · 57kg · 3121	9.50	10.00	▲ 5%
7. Skua(13) · John Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 2x31662	15.00	12.00	▼ 20%
6. Vallice(14) · Mark Zahra · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 51x44522	15.00	13.00	▼ 13%
4. King Snitz(6) · Damian Lane · T: Shane Jackson · 57kg · 9311	11.00	14.00	▲ 27%
5. Murshidi(18) · Blake Shinn · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 6x7321	13.00	14.00	▲ 8%
9. Icy You(10) · Craig Williams · T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young · 57kg · 21242	19.00	15.00	▼ 21%
16. Quick Finish(11) · Jye Mcneil · T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy · 55kg · 5111	21.00	26.00	▲ 24%
10. True Tone(15) · Jason Collett · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 44213	21.00	29.00	▲ 38%
13. Russian Rock(7) · Michael Dee · T: Michael Trotter · 57kg · 3x154	34.00	31.00	▼ 9%
15. King Winston(9) · Daniel Stackhouse · T: Greg Eurell · 57kg · 0245	61.00	61.00	0%
12. Written Empire(2) · Harry Coffey · T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes · 57kg · 4136	61.00	91.00	▲ 49%
14. Cold Shower(5) · Jett Stanley · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 316	81.00	126	▲ 56%
17. Meet The Prince(1) · Jackson Radley · T: Patrick Kearney · 57kg · 5x0622	201	201	0%

Opened: the longest opening price among the bookmakers. Now: the best price now. Firming ▼ means the price has shortened.

Racing and Sports

CORMIER (1) showed good early muster and fought on to finish third last start over 2000m in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick. Finds a tougher race but another big run is on the cards. STORMY MARCO (2) drifted well back last start then wound up strongly to finish fourth, beaten 3 lengths, over 2000m in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick. Will drift back but will be getting home hard. CIGNETTI (8) produced a good effort when narrowly defeated last time in the G3 Caulfield Classic over 2000m. Should be in the finish again. SKUA (7) was sent out at long odds last time but ran above expectations to finish second, beaten only half a length, over 2040m in the G2 Moonee Valley Vase at this track. John Allen stays aboard. One of the better hopes.

Dabble

STORMY MARCO (2) Racing on a quick back up. Inched into 4th last start at Randwick. Jockey James Mcdonald adds value. Has very good closing speed. Will be around the mark at odds. CORMIER (1) On a short turnaround. Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Randwick. Looks promising in this race. KING SNITZ (4) Stormed home to win last time at Caulfield and solid career start. Made it 2 wins in succession but matched against a stronger field. Must be considered. CIGNETTI (8) Narrowly denied victory last time at Caulfield but facing a stronger grade. Will be positive in the run early. Has run into the money 4 from 4 attempts this preparation. Good prospects.

Timeform (FanDuel)

The G1 Victoria Derby, in all of its 1 ?/16m glory. Barriers can be key from this start and have us siding with CORMIER (1) who backs up from the G1 Spring Champion at Randwick last week. He was allowed to roll along there and stayed on strongly for third behind two top fillies, he should stay this well and prove very hard to catch. STORMY MARCO (2) has had things against his past two, very good from back in the field in the Spring Champion last week. Gets J-Mac on now to help offset the tricky gate and will be charging home. CIGNETTI (8) might be the best value for exotics. He just had to wait for a run in the G3 Caulfield Classic and would've won in another stride. He can roll forward and run well. SKUA (7) looks an out-and-out stayer. He was beaten at the 1 ½f last week and just kept finding behind True Rebel. Fancy he can turn the tables up in trip. KING SNITZ (4) won the Caulfield Classic and should stay as well.

Racing and Sports

The G1 Victoria Derby, in all of its 2500m glory. Barriers can be key from this start and have us siding with CORMIER (1) who backs up from the G1 Spring Champion at Randwick last week. He was allowed to roll along there and stayed on strongly for third behind two top fillies; he should stay this well and prove very hard to catch. STORMY MARCO (2) has had things against his past two, very good from back in the field in the Spring Champion last week. Gets J-Mac on now to help offset the tricky gate and will be charging home. CIGNETTI (8) might be the best value for exotics. He just had to wait for a run in the G3 Caulfield Classic and would've won in another stride. He can roll forward and run well. SKUA (7) looks an out-and-out stayer. He was beaten at the 300m last week and just kept finding behind TRUE REBEL. Fancy he can turn the tables up in trip. KING SNITZ (4) won the Caulfield Classic and should stay as well.

Palmerbet

STORMY MARCO (2) is the pick, rattling home from last into fourth in the Spring Champion with the equal-fastest final 400m, and James McDonald plus the extra 500m makes him the weapon late. CORMIER (1) led and faded late in that same race, beaten 1.75 lengths into third, and from gate 3 can bowl along and stay all day. TRUE REBEL (3) came from midfield to win the Moonee Valley Vase and, after proving too strong when stepped up in trip, will relish the 2500m. KING SNITZ (4) chases a hat-trick after his nose win in the Caulfield Classic, and his 3-length maiden win at 2000m says the trip will suit.

Best Bets

Cormier and Quick Finish to take it up at a moderate speed. ICY YOU had a tough run at Geelong and went down narrowly to MURSHIDI. Craig Williams sticks with Icy You, whose previous form was solid. Murshidi merits respect but will have to come from the outside alley. TRUE TONE was a close third in that race and has claims. TRUE REBEL backs up after a strong win last week. STORMY MARCO is racing like the 2500m will suit him and James McDonald takes the mount. In what looks a very even derby, KING SNITZ, VALLICE, SKUA, CIGNETTI and QUICK FINISH have claims.

Matthew Hill

The feature of the day is the 3 million dollar Group 1 VRC Derby over 2500m. 1. CORMIER set the pace and gave his all when finishing third off the top in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick last week. He must be tough to be backing up so quickly, and is likely to give them plenty to catch again. 2. STORMY MARCO let down with a big late run to finish fourth in the Spring Champion Stakes, and he should relish racing over this trip. A wide draw should not be a bother with a long run to the first bend, and with JMac back in the saddle, he is the stronger of the Waller pair. 8. CIGNETTI finished a gutsy third in the G3 Classic at Caulfield a fortnight ago over 2000m. William Pike is in white hot form over the carnival, and he combines with this gelding for the first time. He is bred to handle the trip, and should be hard to hold out. 7. SKUA led up and fought on bravely for second here in the G2 Vase last week. The extra 500m is ideal, and he is good enough to take this out.

Racing Central

QUICK FINISH (16) looks set to lead, with CORMIER (1), WRITTEN EMPIRE (12) and COLD SHOWER (14) also prominent. That should create enough pressure to test CORMIER (1) over 2500m and give backmarker STORMY MARCO (2) a chance to finish off. CORMIER (1) was third over 2000m last start and fourth over 1800m previously, giving him the strongest recent figures despite the new trip. STORMY MARCO (2) finished fourth in the same Randwick race and has the class, provided the tempo is honest. TRUE REBEL (3) won over 2040m at Flemington last start, while KING SNITZ (4) has won his last two, including over 2000m; both bring progressive staying profiles.

Prices are each bookmaker's public price as MarketMover last read it, checked at 11:16 pm Sydney time; a dash is a book that has not opened this race yet. Prices move, and the bookmaker's own price is the one you get. The Model's price is MarketMover's own, from public prices and form: a price to compare against, not a tip; its record is public.

Open this race live in MarketMover All big races

Other big races that day

12:20 pmR1 Channel 9 Carbine Club StakesFlemington race 1›2:00 pmR4 Four Pillars Midway (Bm68)Randwick race 4›3:00 pmR5 The Abc Bullion Damien OliverFlemington race 5›3:40 pmR6 Coolmore Stud StakesFlemington race 6›4:00 pmR7 The Russell Balding StakesRandwick race 7›4:45 pmR8 Asahi Super Dry Golden EagleRandwick race 8›5:00 pmR8 TAB Empire Rose StakesFlemington race 8›5:20 pmR9 Sydney Gold CupRandwick race 9›8:36 pmR5 Nutrien Equine Nsw Breeders Challenge 3Yo Fillies Final (Group 1)Menangle race 5›9:09 pmR6 Nutrien Equine Nsw Breeders Challenge 3Yo Colts And Geldings Final (Group 1)Menangle race 6›9:43 pmR7 Nutrien Equine Nsw Breeders Challenge 2Yo Fillies Final (Group 1)Menangle race 7›10:18 pmR8 Nutrien Equine Nsw Breeders Challenge 2Yo Colts And Geldings Final (Group 1)Menangle race 8›

18+. Gambling can be harmful. For free and confidential support call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858.