Big races › Flemington › Race 8

R8 TAB Empire Rose Stakes 2026 odds

Flemington race 8, Saturday 31 October 2026, 5:00 pm AEDT. Group 1 · Thoroughbreds · 1600m · $1,000,000 · Good 4 · Ocast

Result

1st 1. Lady Shenandoah
2nd 10. Concord Connie
3rd 2. Idle Flyer
4th 9. Sass Appeal

Betfair SP Win 1 $2.14

Runner

Model

Best

Trend

Betfair back

TAB

Sportsbet

Ladbrokes

Neds

PointsBet

BetR

Unibet

Palmerbet

Picklebet

Dabble

FanDuel

Betfair lay

1. Lady Shenandoah(8) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 2x3342x441

2.01

2.00Unibet

–

1.85

1.90

–

1.85

1.82

1.85

2.00

1.90

–

1.75

–

Lady Shenandoah

Barrier 8 · Jockey James Mc Donald · Trainer Chris Waller · 57kg · Form 2x3342x441

Model win 2.01 · place 1.19

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Caulfield. Jockey James Mcdonald is very comfortable steering. Will be trying to topple them late. Strong claims and hard to beat.

Racing well recently. Last start favourite; ran on from midfield and won by a head in the G1 Toorak Handicap at Caulfield on October 10 over 1600m defeating Changing Colours with 58kg at $5.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 16 in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1400m, 1.3 len behind Angel Capital with 56kg at $4.80. Classy mare who is very well suited back to set weights here, rates clear.

Class horse of the race so well placed under the WFA conditions. Holds her form the others need to improve.

Forced her way through a gap to win the Toorak Handicap with 58kg against the boys. Suited at weight-for-age against mares and rates highly.

Fourth-up and fresh from a narrow G1 mile win at Caulfield, where she scored by 0.2 lengths. The off-pace map gives her a target, and her class makes her hard to beat.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/15	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	0.2L
4/16	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	1.3L
4/11	22 Aug 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	4.3L
2/11	11 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	0.9L
4/12	21 Mar 26	Rosehill	1500m	OPEN	3.6L
3/10	7 Mar 26	Randwick	1300m	OPEN	1.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

3. Surfin' Bird(9) · Blake Shinn · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 15x251x411

6.80

5.50Sportsbet

–

5.00

5.50

–

5.50

5.00

5.50

–

5.50

–

Surfin' Bird

Barrier 9 · Jockey Blake Shinn · Trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · Form 15x251x411

Model win 6.80 · place 2.03

Racing on a quick back up. Charged home to win last run at this venue and have to respect the form at this trip. Respect the betting.

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite; tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.5 len in the G2 Crystal Mile at this track on October 24 over 1600m defeating Buckaroo with 56kg at $3. The start before that favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 2 len in the G3 Ladies Day Vase at Caulfield on October 10 over 1600m defeating Savitri with 57kg at $4.20. Progressive and unbeaten this trip, she'll give a big sight.

Followed dominant on-pace win at Caulfield with a similar showing against males last week. Will make presence felt.

Fourth-up after consecutive 1600m wins, most recently in a Flemington G2, and maps to take control. Her front-running form supports strong winning claims.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	0.5L
1/12	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	2.0L
4/7	26 Sept 26	Rosehill	1400m	OPEN	2.0L
1/15	6 June 26	EagleFarm	1600m	OPEN	0.1L
5/16	16 May 26	Scone	1400m	Qlty	1.5L
2/13	2 May 26	Hawkesbury	1300m	OPEN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

10. Concord Connie(6) · Craig Williams · T: Charlotte Littlefield · 56.5kg · 2x111x23

8.07

7.00Dabble

–

6.00

5.50

–

6.50

5.50

6.00

–

7.00

–

Concord Connie

Barrier 6 · Jockey Craig Williams · Trainer Charlotte Littlefield · 56.5kg · Form 2x111x23

Model win 8.07 · place 2.24

Came on strongly when 3rd last time at Caulfield but rising in class. Craig Williams and Charlotte Littlefield demand respect when they team up. Displays very good finishing speed. Can run into the placings.

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming came from midfield; 2nd of 7 in a Mares Bm78 at Mornington on September 26 over 1200m, on a slow track; nose behind Per Sempre carrying 59kg at $1.30. Second-up 3rd of 11 in the G2 Tristarc Stakes at Caulfield on October 17 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Shadhavar carrying 55kg at $2.70. Things against in both runs and can improve albeit this is a fair bit harder.

Caught wide/just missed fresh. Clear best last 400m (22.59) latest on a tough day for runners-on. Return to Flemington suits. Consider.

Third-up after placing third in a G2 over 1400m, and she also has a Flemington win at the trip. The mile is new territory, but her improving profile makes a strong case.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
3/11	17 Oct 26	Caulfield	1400m	OPEN	2.8L
2/7	26 Sept 26	Mornington	1200m	BM78	0.1L
1/11	16 May 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	1.3L
1/12	25 Apr 26	Flemington	1400m	BM70	6.0L
1/9	9 Apr 26	Pakenham	1200m	MDN	2.0L
2/9	20 Nov 25	Ballarat	1200m	MDN	0.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

5. Unleeshing(10) · Jason Collett · T: Bjorn Baker · 57kg · 31152x2211

12.55

10.00TAB

–

10.00

9.50

–

10.00

–

10.00

–

Unleeshing

Barrier 10 · Jockey Jason Collett · Trainer Bjorn Baker · 57kg · Form 31152x2211

Model win 12.55 · place 2.99

Ran on strongly to win last run at Randwick and suited at this trip in the past. Made it 2 wins in succession but facing a stronger group of contenders. Unlikely to feature.

Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run settled well back; won by 0.7 len in the G3 Angst Stakes at Randwick on October 17 over 1600m in soft going defeating Pillow Fight carrying 54kg at $3.30. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len in a Bm94 at Randwick on October 3 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Polymnia carrying 52kg at $1.80. Lots of upside and splits last start say she can measure up.

Improving Sydney mare who has come with strong runs to win her past two. No luck first two this prep. Can measure up. Consider.

Fifth-up after back-to-back 1600m wins, the latest in a Randwick G3, and the back map suits her late-running style. Her strong recent form puts her in a good position to threaten.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
1/10	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	0.7L
1/17	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1600m	BM94	0.5L
2/11	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1400m	BM78	2.2L
2/15	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1200m	BM78	2.2L
2/8	14 Mar 26	Rosehill	1900m	BM78	1.7L
5/12	7 Mar 26	Randwick	1600m	Qlty	3.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

2. Idle Flyer(7) · Mark Zahra · T: Matthew Smith · 57kg · x411x64405

24.32

19.00TAB

–

19.00

–

17.00

18.00

19.00

18.00

–

19.00

–

Idle Flyer

Barrier 7 · Jockey Mark Zahra · Trainer Matthew Smith · 57kg · Form x411x64405

Model win 24.32 · place 4.75

On a short back up. Was $8.50 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Randwick. Shows very good closing speed. Watch for a sign in the market.

Last start 5th of 12 in a G2 The Invitation at Randwick on October 24 over 1400m, 3 len behind Lazzura carrying 59kg at $8.50. The race before that 14th of 16 in the G1 Epsom Handicap at Randwick on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 6 len behind God's Window carrying 55kg at $18. Better last week and is a G1 winner over a mile.

Settled closer than usual last Saturday and outstprinted after being stuck three wide. Wide in the Epsom too. Can improve with a better run.

Sixth-up after finishing sixth in a G2 over 1400m, having raced wide without cover. An earlier G2 mile fourth and G1 mile win underline her class. She needs a form rebound but remains a live chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
5/12	24 Oct 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	3.1L
14/16	3 Oct 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	6.6L
4/5	19 Sept 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	1.9L
4/8	5 Sept 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	3.0L
6/11	22 Aug 26	Randwick	1400m	OPEN	4.6L
1/11	11 Apr 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	0.9L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

9. Sass Appeal(5) · Damian Lane · T: Danny O'Brien · 56.5kg · 21111x1442

21.95

19.00Neds

–

16.00

–

19.00

18.00

19.00

–

18.00

–

Sass Appeal

Barrier 5 · Jockey Damian Lane · Trainer Danny O'Brien · 56.5kg · Form 21111x1442

Model win 21.95 · place 4.42

Couldn't shake them off when 2nd last time at Caulfield but competing in a more challenging class. Shows good early pace. Not at all out of this race.

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 in the G2 Stocks Stakes at Caulfield on September 27 over 1600m, 1.0 len behind Changing Colours with 58kg at $2.15. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 in the LR Tontonan (Sofitel) Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1400m, 1.2 len behind Welcometotheshow with 54kg at $3.20. Not far away last start. Going okay, could stick on for a placing.

Freshened since led and run down by a subsequent Group 1 runner-up. Solid on pace against males two back. Easy on-pace winner at only run this track/trip.

Fifth-up after running second in a G2 mile at Caulfield, with four consecutive wins earlier in her form line. Her prominent map and consistency give her a solid chance of featuring in the finish.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/9	27 Sept 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	1.0L
4/13	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	1.2L
4/12	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1400m	BM100	3.5L
1/6	1 Aug 26	Flemington	1410m	BM100	0.8L
1/8	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	2.8L
1/6	14 Feb 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	2.3L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

8. Salty Pearl(1) · Ben Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 56.5kg · 323135x346

45.16

51.00PointsBet

–

41.00

–

35.00

51.00

41.00

34.00

–

41.00

–

Salty Pearl

Barrier 1 · Jockey Ben Allen · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 56.5kg · Form 323135x346

Model win 45.16 · place 7.45

Started $10.00 and didn't find the line when 6th last run at Caulfield and hard to fault at the trip. Ben Allen is a plus. Likely to get back. Others are better.

Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 15 in the G1 Toorak Handicap at Caulfield on October 10 over 1600m, 2.25 len behind Lady Shenandoah with 52kg at $10. The start before that 4th of 12 in the G2 Let's Elope Stakes at this track on September 12 over 1400m, 0.7 len behind Pondalowie with 57.5kg at $7.50. Racing well but not suited at weights.

Shared lead in the Toorak third up, battling on just outside the placings. Closing fourth here two back. Usually around the mark.

Fourth-up after a sixth in a G1 mile at Caulfield, beaten 2.2 lengths, following G2 and G3 placings. An inside run and competitive figures make her a strong each-way chance.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/15	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	2.2L
4/12	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.7L
3/12	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	2.8L
5/16	25 Apr 26	Morphettville	2000m	OPEN	4.0L
3/9	28 Mar 26	Rosehill	2000m	OPEN	0.4L
1/16	14 Mar 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	2.8L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

4. Cilacap(4) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 57kg · 10x76831x5

82.96

81.00TAB

–

81.00

71.00

–

67.00

71.00

–

81.00

–

Cilacap

Barrier 4 · Jockey Michael Dee · Trainer Grahame Begg · 57kg · Form 10x76831x5

Model win 82.96 · place 11.65

Odds of $19.00 and showed some merit late when 5th last run around here on a heavy surface and strong performer at this trip in the past. Facing formidable rivals. Considerable improvement needed.

Second-up. First-up after five months 5th of 11 in the G2 Rose Of Kingston Stakes at this track on October 3 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 2.25 len behind Stylish carrying 57.5kg at $19. Previously second-up 6th of 9 in the G2 Millie Fox Stakes at Rosehill on February 21 over 1300m, 3 len behind Cinsault with 56kg at $11. Doubt she's got the class to win.

Went back from barrier 11 fresh, running the equal-fastest last 400m (24.41) on her preferred wet track. Won latest run this trip. This is harder.

Second-up after a fifth in a G2 over 1400m on heavy ground, with a previous G2 mile win on her record. That earlier mile form is an angle, but she needs to improve on her comeback run.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
5/11	3 Oct 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	2.2L
1/17	25 Apr 26	Morphettville	1600m	OPEN	0.3L
3/13	11 Apr 26	Caulfield	1600m	Qlty	1.4L
8/14	14 Mar 26	Rosehill	1500m	Qlty	3.3L
6/9	21 Feb 26	Rosehill	1300m	OPEN	3.1L
7/9	26 Dec 25	Sandown-Lakeside	1200m	OPEN	4.0L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

11. Pillow Fight(3) · William Pike · T: Bjorn Baker · 56.5kg · x67222x652

76.57

81.00TAB

–

81.00

71.00

–

71.00

81.00

67.00

61.00

71.00

–

71.00

–

Pillow Fight

Barrier 3 · Jockey William Pike · Trainer Bjorn Baker · 56.5kg · Form x67222x652

Model win 76.57 · place 10.98

Overrun late when 2nd last time at Randwick and getting better in recent performances. Should muster plenty of early speed. Matched against tougher rivals. Simply cannot have.

Most recently rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 10 in the G3 Angst Stakes at Randwick on October 17 over 1600m, on a slow track; 0.7 len behind Unleeshing carrying 54kg at $14. The race before that did the work up front then tired 5th of 10 in a Bm88 at Rosehill on September 26 over 1400m, 2.5 len behind Decorum with 53kg at $17. Can't see her featuring.

NSW on-pacer who was run down third up by the improver Unleeshing. Led when runner-up to Sass Appeal here in autumn.

Fourth-up after finishing runner-up in a G3 mile at Randwick, beaten 0.8 lengths. The on-speed map is handy, though stronger mile credentials are elsewhere.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/10	17 Oct 26	Randwick	1600m	OPEN	0.7L
5/10	26 Sept 26	Rosehill	1400m	BM88	2.6L
6/10	12 Sept 26	Rosehill	1200m	BM88	4.3L
2/8	7 Mar 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	2.8L
2/8	13 Feb 26	Canterbury	1550m	BM72	0.2L
2/9	24 Jan 26	Randwick	1400m	BM72	1.2L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

6. Pondalowie(11) · Harry Coffey · T: Emma-Lee & David Browne · 57kg · 64x35x8156

91.85

101TAB

–

101

71.00

–

81.00

91.00

81.00

71.00

81.00

–

91.00

–

Pondalowie

Barrier 11 · Jockey Harry Coffey · Trainer Emma-Lee & David Browne · 57kg · Form 64x35x8156

Model win 91.85 · place 12.56

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $17.00 and ran 6th last start here. Does take a while to get into stride. Needs significant improvement.

At the latest run 6th of 11 in the G2 Crystal Mile at this track on October 24 over 1600m, 4 len behind Surfin' Bird carrying 56.5kg at $17. The run before that 5th of 15 in the G1 Toorak Handicap at Caulfield on October 10 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Lady Shenandoah with 52kg at $41. Not going badly but has a few lengths to find.

Settled behind the leader last week, closer than usual, and just held ground. Home well in the Toorak. Charged here three back.

Fifth-up after a sixth in a G2 mile at Flemington, following a G1 mile fifth beaten 1.8 lengths. A G2 win two starts ago keeps her in the picture, but she needs to recapture her September peak.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
6/11	24 Oct 26	Flemington	1600m	OPEN	4.1L
5/15	10 Oct 26	Caulfield	1600m	OPEN	1.8L
1/12	12 Sept 26	Flemington	1400m	OPEN	0.1L
8/12	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1200m	OPEN	6.0L
5/8	11 Apr 26	Caulfield	1200m	BM100	2.8L
3/8	21 Mar 26	Caulfield	1200m	BM96	0.4L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

7. Jenni Multabella(2) · Declan Bates · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x26x31222

130

201PointsBet

–

151

–

126

201

126

–

126

–

Jenni Multabella

Barrier 2 · Jockey Declan Bates · Trainer Ciaron Maher · 57kg · Form 1x26x31222

Model win 130 · place 16.27

Freshened for this. Ran a solid race on the speed before weakening to finish 2nd last start at Caulfield and will try to take advantage of the alley. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

Returns from a 42-day let-up. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 13 in a Bm74 at Caulfield on September 19 over 1800m, 0.5 len behind Emperor Tzu carrying 56kg at $6. The race before that 2nd of 14 in a Bm78 at Caulfield on August 29 over 1800m, slow going 1.0 len behind Politely Dun with 53.5kg at $3.40. Outclassed.

Ex Lloyd Kennewell. Freshened since going to the lead and hanging on for second over 1800m. Had been finishing strongly from back in the field. This is harder.

Freshened since finishing second in a BM74 over 1800m at Caulfield and now sixth-up for the campaign. Her recent run of placings is sound, but this mile assignment is a substantial rise and she has plenty to find.

Last starts

Pos	Date	Track	Dist	Class	Margin
2/13	19 Sept 26	Caulfield	1800m	BM74	0.5L
2/14	29 Aug 26	Caulfield	1800m	BM78	1.0L
2/11	8 Aug 26	CaulfieldHeath	1600m	BM74	0.1L
1/11	22 July 26	Sandown-Hillside	1400m	BM70	1.5L
3/11	28 June 26	Sale	1205m	BM62	1.7L
6/8	12 Nov 25	CaulfieldHeath	1600m	BM66	6.1L

Price over time

BetfairTABSportsbetNedsPointsBetBetRUnibetPalmerbetDabble

Runners in price order, shortest first. Tap a runner for its notes, last starts and its price over time at every book.

Runner	Model	Best	Betfair	TAB	Sportsbet	Ladbrokes	Neds	PointsBet	BetR	Unibet	Palmerbet	Picklebet	Dabble	FanDuel
1. Lady Shenandoah(8) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 2x3342x441	1.19	1.16TAB	–	1.16	1.13	–	1.14	1.08	1.09	1.12	1.13	–	1.07	–
3. Surfin' Bird(9) · Blake Shinn · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 15x251x411	2.03	1.70Neds	–	1.60	1.53	–	1.70	1.62	1.60	1.60	1.65	–	1.60	–
10. Concord Connie(6) · Craig Williams · T: Charlotte Littlefield · 56.5kg · 2x111x23	2.24	1.90Neds	–	1.75	1.53	–	1.90	1.82	1.90	1.60	1.80	–	1.90	–
5. Unleeshing(10) · Jason Collett · T: Bjorn Baker · 57kg · 31152x2211	2.99	2.50PointsBet	–	2.30	2.10	–	2.40	2.50	2.45	2.20	2.30	–	2.40	–
2. Idle Flyer(7) · Mark Zahra · T: Matthew Smith · 57kg · x411x64405	4.75	3.50Sportsbet	–	3.20	3.50	–	3.30	3.20	3.40	3.40	3.30	–	3.50	–
9. Sass Appeal(5) · Damian Lane · T: Danny O'Brien · 56.5kg · 21111x1442	4.42	3.60Neds	–	3.10	3.10	–	3.60	3.40	3.40	3.20	3.40	–	3.40	–
8. Salty Pearl(1) · Ben Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 56.5kg · 323135x346	7.45	7.25Sportsbet	–	6.00	7.25	–	5.50	5.50	4.60	6.00	5.50	–	4.60	–
6. Pondalowie(11) · Harry Coffey · T: Emma-Lee & David Browne · 57kg · 64x35x8156	12.56	10.00TAB	–	10.00	10.00	–	9.00	8.00	7.50	10.00	9.50	–	8.00	–
4. Cilacap(4) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 57kg · 10x76831x5	11.65	10.50Sportsbet	–	10.00	10.50	–	8.00	6.50	6.50	10.00	9.00	–	7.00	–
11. Pillow Fight(3) · William Pike · T: Bjorn Baker · 56.5kg · x67222x652	10.98	11.00TAB	–	11.00	10.75	–	8.50	8.00	7.00	9.00	8.50	–	7.00	–
7. Jenni Multabella(2) · Declan Bates · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x26x31222	16.27	18.75Sportsbet	–	16.00	18.75	–	12.00	14.00	11.00	17.00	14.00	–	10.00	–

Runner	Opened	Now	Move
1. Lady Shenandoah(8) · James Mc Donald · T: Chris Waller · 57kg · 2x3342x441	2.60	2.00	▼ 23%
3. Surfin' Bird(9) · Blake Shinn · T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott · 57kg · 15x251x411	5.50	5.50	0%
10. Concord Connie(6) · Craig Williams · T: Charlotte Littlefield · 56.5kg · 2x111x23	9.00	7.00	▼ 22%
5. Unleeshing(10) · Jason Collett · T: Bjorn Baker · 57kg · 31152x2211	11.00	10.00	▼ 9%
2. Idle Flyer(7) · Mark Zahra · T: Matthew Smith · 57kg · x411x64405	11.00	19.00	▲ 73%
9. Sass Appeal(5) · Damian Lane · T: Danny O'Brien · 56.5kg · 21111x1442	17.00	19.00	▲ 12%
8. Salty Pearl(1) · Ben Allen · T: Ciaron Maher · 56.5kg · 323135x346	21.00	51.00	▲ 143%
4. Cilacap(4) · Michael Dee · T: Grahame Begg · 57kg · 10x76831x5	41.00	81.00	▲ 98%
11. Pillow Fight(3) · William Pike · T: Bjorn Baker · 56.5kg · x67222x652	51.00	81.00	▲ 59%
6. Pondalowie(11) · Harry Coffey · T: Emma-Lee & David Browne · 57kg · 64x35x8156	71.00	101	▲ 42%
7. Jenni Multabella(2) · Declan Bates · T: Ciaron Maher · 57kg · 1x26x31222	101	201	▲ 99%

Opened: the longest opening price among the bookmakers. Now: the best price now. Firming ▼ means the price has shortened.

Racing and Sports

LADY SHENANDOAH (1) was sent out favourite last time and scored by a head over today's trip in the G1 Toorak Handicap at Caulfield. Yet to miss the placings from three starts at this trip. Top chance. IDLE FLYER (2) finished 3 lengths away in fifth last time out over 1400m at Randwick a week ago. Steps up in journey today. Right in the mix. SURFIN' BIRD (3) made it two wins in succession last start when she scored by half a length over 1600m in the G2 Crystal Mile at this track. Meets a stronger field but she is capable of running another bold race. UNLEESHING (5) drifted back from her wide draw last start then hit the line hard to score by 0.7 lengths in the G3 Angst Stakes at Randwick over 1600m. Goes very well at this journey, boasting four wins from five starts and cannot be taken lightly.

Dabble

The Empire Rose Stakes looks a quality contest over the Flemington mile, with several mares bringing strong Group 1 credentials. Lady Shenandoah is the top pick after an outstanding victory in the Toorak Handicap, where she carried 58kg and showed a terrific turn of foot to get the job done. She drops back into mares' company under weight-for-age conditions and looks ideally placed to make it back-to-back Group 1 victories. James McDonald retains the ride, and from barrier eight she should get every opportunity to settle midfield before producing her finishing burst. Idle Flyer is the main danger, having previously beaten Lady Shenandoah in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes and bringing solid form despite a quick turnaround. Surfin' Bird also warrants respect after winning the Crystal Mile at Flemington last Saturday, while Sass Appeal appeals as a value chance given her excellent record at the track. However, Lady Shenandoah gets the nod on class and current form. LADY SHENANDOAH (1) Finished well when winning last run at Caulfield. Expected to be flashing home. James Mcdonald has been successful aboard previously. Surprise if it doesn't win with room to spare. SASS APPEAL (9) Peaked on the run when 2nd beaten by 1L last time at Caulfield but competing in a higher grade. Likely to be well placed early. Honest enough to be an each way player. IDLE FLYER (2) On a short turnaround. Gave ground when 5th last start at Randwick. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Has the ability to figure. SURFIN' BIRD (3) Backing up quickly. Charged home to win last run around here and proven runner at this trip. Won last 2 in a row. Can threaten if right today.

Timeform (FanDuel)

The G1 Empire Rose and LADY SHENANDOAH (1) is clearly the one to beat. She's been a rock-solid mare at G1 level over a range of distances but a mile might just be her best trip having burst through under 128lbs to win the G1 Toorak Handicap last start. She's much better placed back to her own sex and a repeat of last start will see her winning again. IDLE FLYER (2) is the one with an established peak to challenge having beaten her in the G1 Queen Of The Turf over this trip in the Autumn. Jury out a bit on how she's going but she did race wide last week and can improve back out to a mile. Certainly not discounting SURFIN' BIRD (3) who is unbeaten over a mile, running fast time two back at Caulfield then sprinting well off a slower speed to win last week. She'll be hard to run down. UNLEESHING (5) finished all over them to win the G3 Angst last time and is progressive. CONCORD CONNIE (10) has had excuses in both runs and should improve to a mile on the big track.

Palmerbet

SASS APPEAL (9) drives the tempo, was run down a length over 1600m last start and is an easy on-pace winner at this track and trip. LADY SHENANDOAH (1) bullocked through under 58kg to beat the males in the Toorak last start, and back against her own sex at weight-for-age she should be far too good. SURFIN' BIRD (3) chases a hat-trick after sitting just off the speed and boxing on to win over 1600m at Flemington, unbeaten at the mile. CONCORD CONNIE (10) went 22.59 for the day's clear best last 400m against the trend at Caulfield, and third-up out to 1600m at Flemington she can wind up.

Best Bets

Pillow Fight to lead from Sass Appeal with Surfin' Bird just off them. The pace should be decent. LADY SHENANDOAH forced her way into the clear under 58kg to beat the boys in the Toorak Handicap. She is ideally suited at weight-for-age against mares. SURFIN' BIRD is a mare in form and will probably be in front of her at the 200m. CONCORD CONNIE will give them both a start but she can unleash a big finish. So can the improving UNLEESHING. SASS APPEAL and PILLOW FIGHT should be competitive from on the speed.

Matthew Hill

The Empire Rose Stakes over a mile is worth a million dollars. 1. LADY SHENANDOAH needed her first 2 starts back from a spell, and reminded us of how good she is when bursting through late to win the G1 Toorak Handicap by a short-head. She drops a kilo, and will have plenty of time to have the last say down this long run in, so stick with her. 2. IDLE FLYER had a rocky run at Randwick in the G2 Invitation last week, and did well to finish fifth. She treks down south a week later, which is a query, but deep into her prep, it may not be an issue. Each way. 3. SURFIN' BIRD is lightly tried but quality mare chasing a hat-trick of wins after scoring a game win in the G1 Kia Ora Stud Mile here last week. She is unbeaten in 5 starts over this trip, and will lose nothing with Blake Shinn back in the saddle. Go again. 5. UNLEESHING stepped up to G3 company last start, and was still too good, winning the Angst Stakes at Randwick by almost a length. Keep her safe on all quaddie tickets.

Racing Central

SURFIN' BIRD (3) is expected to lead, with SASS APPEAL (9) and PILLOW FIGHT (11) close to the pace, giving off-pace LADY SHENANDOAH (1) a target. LADY SHENANDOAH (1) comes off a narrow G1 mile win at Caulfield, and her class and recent figures make her hard to beat. SURFIN' BIRD (3) has won her last two mile starts, including at Flemington, and is mapped to control the race again. CONCORD CONNIE (10) is third-up after a G2 placing over 1400m and has upside, though she is untested at the mile. IDLE FLYER (2) has an earlier G1 mile win but needs to improve on her latest sixth over 1400m.

Prices are each bookmaker's public price as MarketMover last read it, checked at 11:15 pm Sydney time; a dash is a book that has not opened this race yet. Prices move, and the bookmaker's own price is the one you get. The Model's price is MarketMover's own, from public prices and form: a price to compare against, not a tip; its record is public.

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R8 TAB Empire Rose Stakes 2026 odds

Result

Lady Shenandoah

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Surfin' Bird

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Concord Connie

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Unleeshing

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Idle Flyer

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Sass Appeal

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Salty Pearl

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Cilacap

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Pillow Fight

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Pondalowie

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Jenni Multabella

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leader

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